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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 19:51:37

Take profit at 160.9905 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 161.5897 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 19:51:37

With 40.0515 MSTR at 161.39$ per unit.

Position size of 6463.9135 $

Take profit at 160.9905 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 161.5897 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.698094

15m : -0.248211

1H : 0.043413

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.1331618473
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.433
  4. ema21 : 164.052
  5. ema50 : 165.866
  6. ema100 : 168.515
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0064262
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00986662
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0109362
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0422865
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214641
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.121326
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0766326
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0661898
  17. rsi : 0.376654
  18. adx : 0.180515
  19. kc_percentage : 0.172841
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0488061
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.711818
  22. volume_ema1 : 132442.38898287
  23. volume_ema2 : 459580.08792958
  24. chop : 36.3203
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.136
  28. ema21 : 161.617
  29. ema50 : 163.172
  30. ema100 : 164.579
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00157367
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00297938
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0095249
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0193769
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0139966
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0592611
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0658893
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0481016
  41. rsi : 0.436733
  42. adx : 0.397857
  43. kc_percentage : 0.415752
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.012506
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.976311
  46. volume_ema1 : 2098.4337385507
  47. volume_ema2 : 88582.706917661
  48. chop : 72.3929
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.173
  52. ema21 : 161.073
  53. ema50 : 161.319
  54. ema100 : 161.991
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00134022
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000623676
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00152388
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00371242
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0100675
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0028119
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00827521
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0131826
  65. rsi : 0.60845
  66. adx : 0.350314
  67. kc_percentage : 1.3098
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00240899
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.943899
  70. volume_ema1 : 355.60573973331
  71. volume_ema2 : 6338.6867728315
  72. chop : 56.6088
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86136.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000999264
  78. 5m_price: 
    86222.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.698094
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86702.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00554168
  83. 15m_price: 
    86222.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.248211
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87690.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0167452
  88. 1H_price: 
    86222.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.043413
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6640168342296
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2601880877743
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 03:30:00
                    [1] => 165.36
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 167.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0061961707664783
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:40:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:50:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
                    [1] => 160.55
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 161.01
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34819374494807
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1897
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4405
0.27%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 17:40:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:50:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 18:00:00 160.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:40:00 160.55 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:55:00 161.01 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:10:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4903
5.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4905
0.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 03:30:00 165.36 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 05:00:00 167.79 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.4103
10.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4905
0.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
19:51:37		 17 Dec 2025
20:30:00		 38 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.39 161.5897 160.9905 2 133.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.39
  • Stop Loss: 161.5897
  • Take Profit: 160.9905

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.5897 - 161.39 = 0.19970000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.39 - 160.9905 = 0.39949999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.39949999999999 / 0.19970000000001 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6463.9135 100 40.0515 64.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.19970000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.19970000000001 = 40.06

Taille de position USD = 40.06 x 161.39 = 6465.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 40.06 avec un stoploss a 161.5897

Avec un position size USD de 6465.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 40.06 x 0.19970000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 40.06 x 0.39949999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 40.06
  • Taille de position USD 6465.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.9906
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.89075
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7909
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.69105
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5912
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.49135
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.3915
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.29165
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.1918
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.09195
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9921
            [stop_loss] => 161.5897
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 1.58
            [high] => 161.89000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:51:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:51:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 162.60000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:51:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:51:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.55000000
            [high_after] => 162.34000000
            [low_before] => 159.50000000
            [low_after] => 160.60000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)