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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 20:01:42

Take profit at 161.0457 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 161.5621 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 20:01:42

With 46.474 MSTR at 161.39$ per unit.

Position size of 7500.4409 $

Take profit at 161.0457 (0.21 %) and Stop Loss at 161.5621 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.691042

15m : -0.06921

1H : 0.011623

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.32
  4. atr: 0.1147594765
Details
  1. score: 1.32
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.225
  4. ema21 : 163.81
  5. ema50 : 165.69
  6. ema100 : 168.374
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00514757
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00967805
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0113491
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0414839
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.242368
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.142538
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0875039
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0718073
  17. rsi : 0.376654
  18. adx : 0.190493
  19. kc_percentage : 0.17111
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0439255
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.800037
  22. volume_ema1 : 88294.925988579
  23. volume_ema2 : 441557.33938333
  24. chop : 36.4234
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.187
  28. ema21 : 161.597
  29. ema50 : 163.084
  30. ema100 : 164.387
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00125854
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00253727
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00912231
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0182333
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0021129
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0498336
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0610821
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0445871
  41. rsi : 0.436791
  42. adx : 0.389509
  43. kc_percentage : 0.415331
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0112555
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.983582
  46. volume_ema1 : 1398.9558257004
  47. volume_ema2 : 85211.1993491
  48. chop : 84.8962
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.251
  52. ema21 : 161.128
  53. ema50 : 161.343
  54. ema100 : 162.104
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00085733
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000764765
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00133054
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00440974
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0153908
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00657674
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00635254
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0136164
  65. rsi : 0.608257
  66. adx : 0.307104
  67. kc_percentage : 1.31828
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00195123
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.978333
  70. volume_ema1 : 158.04699543703
  71. volume_ema2 : 7294.6367402726
  72. chop : 52.7238
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86182.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000224144
  78. 5m_price: 
    86202.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.691042
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86687.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00559938
  83. 15m_price: 
    86202.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.06921
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87656.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0165892
  88. 1H_price: 
    86202.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.011623
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6640168342296
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2601880877743
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 167.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1849529780564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:50:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
                    [1] => 160.55
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 161.01
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34819374494807
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1621
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4957
0.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 17:50:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 18:00:00 160.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:40:00 160.55 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:55:00 161.01 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:10:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.5179
5.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5457
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 05:00:00 167.79 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:00:00 161.39 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.4379
10.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5457
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
20:01:42		 17 Dec 2025
20:30:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.39 161.5621 161.0457 2 129.61
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.39
  • Stop Loss: 161.5621
  • Take Profit: 161.0457

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.5621 - 161.39 = 0.1721

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.39 - 161.0457 = 0.34429999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.34429999999998 / 0.1721 = 2.0006

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7500.4409 100 46.474 75.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1721

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1721 = 46.48

Taille de position USD = 46.48 x 161.39 = 7501.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 46.48 avec un stoploss a 161.5621

Avec un position size USD de 7501.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 46.48 x 0.1721 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 46.48 x 0.34429999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 46.48
  • Taille de position USD 7501.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.21 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0458
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.95975
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8737
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.78765
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7016
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.61555
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5295
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.44345
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.3574
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.27135
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.1853
            [stop_loss] => 161.5621
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 1.58
            [high] => 161.89000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T20:01:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:01:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 162.60000000
            [low] => 160.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T20:01:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T03:01:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.48000000
            [high_after] => 162.34000000
            [low_before] => 159.50000000
            [low_after] => 160.60000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)