Short Trade on HOOD 17 Dec 2025 at 20:46:05
Take profit at 117.3777 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 118.0411 (0.19 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 17 Dec 2025 at 20:46:05
Take profit at 117.3777 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 118.0411 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4262.4566 $
Take profit at 117.3777 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 118.0411 (0.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.6 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.46 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.330583 15m : -0.142838 1H : 0.090093 |
1 |
Indicators:
86144.6
-0.000601603
86092.8
0.330583
86659.5
-0.00653965
86092.8
-0.142838
87654
-0.0178119
86092.8
0.090093
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 120.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 119.3
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 120.88
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 112.16
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 120.63
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 22:00:00
[1] => 121.37
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
[1] => 119.05
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 124.67
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 115.69
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 118.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40574809805579
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8411271501426
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2560290431325
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:15:00
[1] => 119.05
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:15:00
[1] => 120.34
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 02:00:00
[1] => 119.74
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:15:00
[1] => 124.67
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:45:00
[1] => 118.68
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 12:30:00
[1] => 121.16
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 115.69
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 115.98
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:15:00
[1] => 118.3
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:45:00
[1] => 117.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5864804276599
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.40740112035308
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:50:00
[1] => 117.03
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:10:00
[1] => 116.05
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
[1] => 116.45
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
[1] => 115.98
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:15:00
[1] => 118.3
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
[1] => 117.79
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
[1] => 117.29
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:10:00
[1] => 117.29
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
[1] => 117.82
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:45:00
[1] => 117.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.4518714297894
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 17:50:00 | 117.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:10:00 | 116.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 18:40:00 | 116.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:05:00 | 115.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:15:00 | 118.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:55:00 | 117.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:00:00 | 117.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 20:10:00 | 117.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 20:35:00 | 117.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:45:00 | 117.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 00:15:00 | 119.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:15:00 | 120.34 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 02:00:00 | 119.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:15:00 | 124.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 10:45:00 | 118.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 12:30:00 | 121.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 115.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 115.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:15:00 | 118.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:45:00 | 117.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 120.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 119.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 120.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 112.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 120.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 22:00:00 | 121.37 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 119.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 124.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 115.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 118.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 20:46:05 |
17 Dec 2025 20:55:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117.82 | 118.0411 | 117.3777 | 2 | 78.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 118.0411 - 117.82 = 0.22110000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 117.82 - 117.3777 = 0.44229999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.44229999999999 / 0.22110000000001 = 2.0005
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4262.4566 | 100 | 36.1777 | 42.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.22110000000001 = 36.18
Taille de position USD = 36.18 x 117.82 = 4262.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 36.18 avec un stoploss a 118.0411
Avec un position size USD de 4262.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 36.18 x 0.22110000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 36.18 x 0.44229999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2546 % | 135.64 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.3777
[entry_price] => 117.82
[stop_loss] => 118.06321
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.3777
[entry_price] => 117.82
[stop_loss] => 118.08532
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.3777
[entry_price] => 117.82
[stop_loss] => 118.10743
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.3777
[entry_price] => 117.82
[stop_loss] => 118.15165
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.58
[max_drawdown] => 0.44000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[high] => 118.26000000
[low] => 117.24000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.49
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.32
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T20:46:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:46:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.58
[max_drawdown] => 1.19
[rr_ratio] => 0.49
[high] => 119.01000000
[low] => 117.24000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.49
[mae_pct] => 1.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T20:46:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T03:46:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 118.30000000
[high_after] => 118.39000000
[low_before] => 115.98000000
[low_after] => 117.24000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)