Short Trade on BTC 17 Dec 2025 at 21:14:21

Take profit at 86020.8558 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 86674.6221 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 21:14:21

With 0.03671 BTC at 86456.7$ per unit.

Position size of 3173.8569 $

Take profit at 86020.8558 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 86674.6221 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : 0.028152

1H : -0.013378

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 145.2814093
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 86318.6
  4. ema21 : 86569.7
  5. ema50 : 86971.8
  6. ema100 : 87644
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00159875
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0028999
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00462345
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0135479
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.114272
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0662934
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0414929
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0351534
  17. rsi : 0.479205
  18. adx : 0.196864
  19. kc_percentage : 0.467466
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0342405
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.606296
  22. volume_ema1 : 79068432.277275
  23. volume_ema2 : 200832374.31762
  24. chop : 32.9389
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 86155.1
  29. ema21 : 86147.2
  30. ema50 : 86363.6
  31. ema100 : 86677.9
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00349993
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 9.23495E-5
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00250634
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00255292
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00853671
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00164002
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0137703
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0142866
  42. rsi : 0.562499
  43. adx : 0.105679
  44. kc_percentage : 0.77776
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130606
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.490824
  47. volume_ema1 : 24369357.065743
  48. volume_ema2 : 47860460.0287
  49. chop : 72.0473
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 86153.1
  54. ema21 : 86108.1
  55. ema50 : 86088.7
  56. ema100 : 86106.5
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00352323
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000522559
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000225183
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00406685
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0080033
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.000457425
  65. ema_slope_50 : 5.89247E-6
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000663321
  67. rsi : 0.662826
  68. adx : 0.137296
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06365
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00712394
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.851231
  72. volume_ema1 : 13547635.173318
  73. volume_ema2 : 7318174.2210401
  74. chop : 34.2695
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86106.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00406685
  81. 5m_price:
    86456.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    1
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86677.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00255292
  86. 15m_price:
    86456.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.028152
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87644
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0135479
  91. 1H_price:
    86456.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.013378
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 89941.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 85111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 86070.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 88141
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 87923.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                        [1] => 86169.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 90347.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 85286.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 86528.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.07951119108458
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.375833220967
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4565024945331
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 08:15:00
                        [1] => 86769.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 90347.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                        [1] => 86131
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 85286.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:15:00
                        [1] => 86229.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 17:15:00
                        [1] => 86415.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 18:30:00
                        [1] => 85919.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 86287.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 85825.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 86528.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.07951119108458
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73940900876547
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81957185119073
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 14:50:00
                        [1] => 86151
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
                        [1] => 86229.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                        [1] => 85666.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 17:25:00
                        [1] => 86415.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 18:30:00
                        [1] => 85919.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 86270
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                        [1] => 86012.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 86287.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 20:10:00
                        [1] => 85825.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                        [1] => 86528.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.07951119108458
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73940900876547
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81957185119073
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.74%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
145.9221
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
354.2558
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 14:50:00 86151 ↑ High
2025-12-17 15:20:00 86229.9 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:30:00 85666.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:25:00 86415.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 18:30:00 85919.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:00:00 86270 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:20:00 86012.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 86287.3 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:10:00 85825.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 86528.7 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.74%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,673.1779
4.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
734.3558
0.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 08:15:00 86769.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 90347.8 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 86131 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 14:00:00 85286.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:15:00 86229.9 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:15:00 86415.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 18:30:00 85919.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 86287.3 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:00:00 85825.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 86528.7 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,673.1779
4.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
909.8558
1.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 04:00:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:00:00 86070.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 10:00:00 88141 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:00:00 87923.9 ↑ High
2025-12-17 00:00:00 86169.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 90347.8 ↑ High
2025-12-17 14:00:00 85286.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 86528.7 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
21:14:21
17 Dec 2025
21:15:00
39 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86456.7 86674.6221 86020.8558 2 67402.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86456.7
  • Stop Loss: 86674.6221
  • Take Profit: 86020.8558

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86674.6221 - 86456.7 = 217.9221

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86456.7 - 86020.8558 = 435.84419999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 435.84419999999 / 217.9221 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3173.8569 100 0.03671 31.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 217.9221

Taille de position = 8 / 217.9221 = 0.04

Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 86456.7 = 3458.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 86674.6221

Avec un position size USD de 3458.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.04 x 217.9221 = 8.72

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.72$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.04 x 435.84419999999 = 17.43

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.43$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.04
  • Taille de position USD 3458.27
  • Perte potentielle 8.72
  • Gain potentiel 17.43
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4416 % 175.17 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86020.8558
            [entry_price] => 86456.7
            [stop_loss] => 86696.41431
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86020.8558
            [entry_price] => 86456.7
            [stop_loss] => 86718.20652
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86020.8558
            [entry_price] => 86456.7
            [stop_loss] => 86739.99873
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86020.8558
            [entry_price] => 86456.7
            [stop_loss] => 86783.58315
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 246
            [max_drawdown] => 407
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [high] => 86863.70000000
            [low] => 86210.70000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:14:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:14:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 246
            [max_drawdown] => 634.40000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.39
            [high] => 87091.10000000
            [low] => 86210.70000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:14:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:14:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 86528.70000000
            [high_after] => 86918.30000000
            [low_before] => 85825.30000000
            [low_after] => 86210.70000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)