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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 21:17:56

Take profit at 161.2374 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 161.8413 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 21:17:56

With 39.7419 MSTR at 161.64$ per unit.

Position size of 6423.882 $

Take profit at 161.2374 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 161.8413 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 1.52
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.63835

15m : 0.157587

1H : 0.039787

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.55
  4. atr: 0.1341992281
Details
  1. score: 1.55
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162
  4. ema21 : 163.557
  5. ema50 : 165.506
  6. ema100 : 168.228
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00222747
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00951893
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0117761
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0391638
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.277709
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.168218
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.100793
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.07875
  17. rsi : 0.402353
  18. adx : 0.199322
  19. kc_percentage : 0.240561
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0435327
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.85282
  22. volume_ema1 : 62519.230825719
  23. volume_ema2 : 424782.49338098
  24. chop : 36.674
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.247
  28. ema21 : 161.456
  29. ema50 : 162.766
  30. ema100 : 164.258
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0024332
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0012959
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00804735
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0159419
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00615607
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0287594
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0500922
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0424255
  41. rsi : 0.491277
  42. adx : 0.355237
  43. kc_percentage : 0.6345
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101282
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.967721
  46. volume_ema1 : 2264.558869228
  47. volume_ema2 : 70157.23103007
  48. chop : 81.9678
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.11
  52. ema21 : 161.061
  53. ema50 : 161.206
  54. ema100 : 161.839
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00328674
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000303443
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00089804
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00122981
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0107833
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00682508
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00756426
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0122662
  65. rsi : 0.674186
  66. adx : 0.360125
  67. kc_percentage : 1.55326
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00339516
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.596527
  70. volume_ema1 : 1244.6563243877
  71. volume_ema2 : 3084.8626648031
  72. chop : 13.4755
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86148.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00554173
  78. 5m_price: 
    86626
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.63835
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86652.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000306841
  83. 15m_price: 
    86626
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.157587
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87647.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.011654
  88. 1H_price: 
    86626
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.039787
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1422827095577
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2037617554859
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3479623824451
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1422827095577
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51058530510585
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65379825653799
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1422827095577
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.4355400696864
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65379825653799
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.44%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1913
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6374
0.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:10:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.51%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.2387
5.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7374
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.65 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.20%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.1587
9.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7374
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.65 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
21:17:56		 17 Dec 2025
21:25:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.64 161.8413 161.2374 2 132.89
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.64
  • Stop Loss: 161.8413
  • Take Profit: 161.2374

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.8413 - 161.64 = 0.2013

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.64 - 161.2374 = 0.40259999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.40259999999998 / 0.2013 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6423.882 100 39.7419 64.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2013

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2013 = 39.74

Taille de position USD = 39.74 x 161.64 = 6423.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 39.74 avec un stoploss a 161.8413

Avec un position size USD de 6423.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 39.74 x 0.2013 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 39.74 x 0.40259999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 39.74
  • Taille de position USD 6423.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2374
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.13675
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0361
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.93545
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.8348
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.73415
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6335
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.53285
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.4322
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.33155
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.2309
            [stop_loss] => 161.8413
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.63
            [high] => 162.10000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:17:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:17:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 2.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 163.70000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 1.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:17:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:17:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.65000000
            [high_after] => 162.60000000
            [low_before] => 160.47000000
            [low_after] => 160.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)