Short Trade on QQQ 17 Dec 2025 at 21:27:47
Take profit at 603.3626 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 604.7687 (0.078 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 17 Dec 2025 at 21:27:47
Take profit at 603.3626 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 604.7687 (0.078 %)
Position size of 10314.2091 $
Take profit at 603.3626 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 604.7687 (0.078 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.89 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.336616 15m : 0.008759 1H : 0.005875 |
1 |
Indicators:
86139.7
0.00148865
86268
0.336616
86651.2
-0.00106701
86558.8
0.008759
87640.3
-0.015659
86268
0.005875
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 613.45
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 616.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 618.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 610.27
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 605.28
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 607.44
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
[1] => 613.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
[1] => 615.32
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52399567495633
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52399567495633
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 22:15:00
[1] => 612.54
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
[1] => 610.65
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 03:15:00
[1] => 612.81
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:45:00
[1] => 615.32
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 12:00:00
[1] => 603.31
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 603.92
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:45:00
[1] => 604.09
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 601.74
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.42543291122411
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.42543291122411
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:20:00
[1] => 603.73
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:40:00
[1] => 602.3
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:50:00
[1] => 604.09
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
[1] => 603.07
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:50:00
[1] => 603.07
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
[1] => 601.74
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:40:00
[1] => 602.56
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:50:00
[1] => 603.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:50:00
[1] => 602.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:20:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27878264909893
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.27878264909893
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 17:20:00 | 603.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:40:00 | 602.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 17:50:00 | 604.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:40:00 | 603.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:50:00 | 603.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:05:00 | 601.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:40:00 | 602.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:50:00 | 603.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:50:00 | 602.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:20:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 22:15:00 | 612.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 610.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 03:15:00 | 612.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 07:45:00 | 615.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 12:00:00 | 603.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:45:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 603.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:45:00 | 604.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 601.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 613.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 616.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 618.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 610.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 605.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 607.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 613.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 07:00:00 | 615.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:00:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 21:27:47 |
17 Dec 2025 21:50:00 |
22 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604.3 | 604.7687 | 603.3626 | 2 | 608.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.7687 - 604.3 = 0.46870000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 604.3 - 603.3626 = 0.93739999999991
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.93739999999991 / 0.46870000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10314.2091 | 100 | 17.068 | 103.14 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.46870000000001 = 17.07
Taille de position USD = 17.07 x 604.3 = 10315.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.07 avec un stoploss a 604.7687
Avec un position size USD de 10315.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.07 x 0.46870000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.07 x 0.93739999999991 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.078 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.3626
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.12825
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 602.8939
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 602.65955
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 602.4252
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 602.19085
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.9565
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.72215
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.4878
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.25345
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.0191
[stop_loss] => 604.7687
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.42
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 604.30000000
[low] => 601.88000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:27:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:27:47-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.42
[max_drawdown] => 1.2900000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.88
[high] => 605.59000000
[low] => 601.88000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 0.21
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.88
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:27:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:27:47-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 604.30000000
[high_after] => 605.08000000
[low_before] => 601.74000000
[low_after] => 601.88000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)