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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 21:41:48

Take profit at 161.0751 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 161.7125 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 21:41:48

With 37.6531 MSTR at 161.5$ per unit.

Position size of 6080.9771 $

Take profit at 161.0751 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 161.7125 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.98
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.607997

15m : 0.071102

1H : -0.046249

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.1416439041
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.972
  4. ema21 : 163.545
  5. ema50 : 165.501
  6. ema100 : 168.225
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00291933
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00961306
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0118203
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0399802
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.279102
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.168853
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.101066
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.078886
  17. rsi : 0.395945
  18. adx : 0.199322
  19. kc_percentage : 0.22256
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0435704
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.848587
  22. volume_ema1 : 64349.904492386
  23. volume_ema2 : 424997.86675353
  24. chop : 36.674
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.238
  28. ema21 : 161.43
  29. ema50 : 162.698
  30. ema100 : 164.165
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0016192
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00118495
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00779778
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0162377
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00693255
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0254391
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0477607
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.041062
  41. rsi : 0.480628
  42. adx : 0.338689
  43. kc_percentage : 0.558163
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0111196
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.95438
  46. volume_ema1 : 3088.9328017076
  47. volume_ema2 : 67710.43565879
  48. chop : 80.5302
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.327
  52. ema21 : 161.194
  53. ema50 : 161.227
  54. ema100 : 161.692
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00106717
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000826315
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00020629
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00119147
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0172283
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00630615
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.000980814
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00721322
  65. rsi : 0.604386
  66. adx : 0.273635
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0229
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00354806
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.670508
  70. volume_ema1 : 864.18970526917
  71. volume_ema2 : 2622.7953707389
  72. chop : 19.9134
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86156.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00509015
  78. 5m_price: 
    86595.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.607997
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86642
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00135314
  83. 15m_price: 
    86524.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.071102
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87646.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0119974
  88. 1H_price: 
    86595.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.046249
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092793071450669
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2539184952978
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3479623824451
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092793071450669
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56039850560399
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65379825653799
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092793071450669
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48531607765057
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65379825653799
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.49%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0625
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4751
0.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:10:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.56%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3675
5.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5751
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.65 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.25%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.2875
10.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5751
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.65 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
21:41:48		 17 Dec 2025
21:45:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.5 161.7125 161.0751 2 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.5
  • Stop Loss: 161.7125
  • Take Profit: 161.0751

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.7125 - 161.5 = 0.21250000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.5 - 161.0751 = 0.42490000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.42490000000001 / 0.21250000000001 = 1.9995

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6080.9771 100 37.6531 60.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.21250000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.21250000000001 = 37.65

Taille de position USD = 37.65 x 161.5 = 6080.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 37.65 avec un stoploss a 161.7125

Avec un position size USD de 6080.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 37.65 x 0.21250000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 37.65 x 0.42490000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 37.65
  • Taille de position USD 6080.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2415 % 183.51 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0751
            [entry_price] => 161.5
            [stop_loss] => 161.73375
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0751
            [entry_price] => 161.5
            [stop_loss] => 161.755
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0751
            [entry_price] => 161.5
            [stop_loss] => 161.77625
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0751
            [entry_price] => 161.5
            [stop_loss] => 161.81875
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.61000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.59999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.02
            [high] => 162.10000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:41:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:41:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.61000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.2
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 163.70000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.38
            [mae_pct] => 1.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:41:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:41:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.65000000
            [high_after] => 163.70000000
            [low_before] => 160.55000000
            [low_after] => 160.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)