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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 21:46:09

Take profit at 161.4119 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1291 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 21:46:09

With 33.4642 MSTR at 161.89$ per unit.

Position size of 5417.513 $

Take profit at 161.4119 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1291 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.14
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.60351

15m : 0.066569

1H : -0.086973

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.43
  4. atr: 0.1593744831
Details
  1. score: 1.43
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.05
  4. ema21 : 163.58
  5. ema50 : 165.516
  6. ema100 : 168.233
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000992606
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00935089
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0116974
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0377061
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.275223
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.167083
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.100305
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0785071
  17. rsi : 0.413465
  18. adx : 0.19696
  19. kc_percentage : 0.275765
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0440585
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.848578
  22. volume_ema1 : 64353.681459053
  23. volume_ema2 : 424998.31110255
  24. chop : 36.6953
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.369
  28. ema21 : 161.471
  29. ema50 : 162.653
  30. ema100 : 164.021
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00322777
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000636753
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0072661
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0129971
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0146515
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0190132
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0437443
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0380622
  41. rsi : 0.522027
  42. adx : 0.315566
  43. kc_percentage : 0.752444
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0109472
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.968356
  46. volume_ema1 : 2063.0655011384
  47. volume_ema2 : 65196.333014597
  48. chop : 71.5469
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.44
  52. ema21 : 161.257
  53. ema50 : 161.249
  54. ema100 : 161.661
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00278574
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00113132
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 5.41449E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00141421
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0259036
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.01124
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00158071
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00538812
  65. rsi : 0.683036
  66. adx : 0.271368
  67. kc_percentage : 1.42891
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00414916
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.769959
  70. volume_ema1 : 579.90343684611
  71. volume_ema2 : 2520.878371845
  72. chop : 12.9439
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86168.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00579305
  78. 5m_price: 
    86667.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.60351
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86608.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000681279
  83. 15m_price: 
    86667.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.066569
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87648.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0111898
  88. 1H_price: 
    86667.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.086973
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4984326018809
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4984326018809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80323785803237
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80323785803237
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72797411647585
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.14846891432105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2391
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8119
0.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.9509
5.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9119
1.18%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.8709
9.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9119
1.18%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
21:46:09		 17 Dec 2025
22:15:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.89 162.1291 161.4119 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.89
  • Stop Loss: 162.1291
  • Take Profit: 161.4119

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.1291 - 161.89 = 0.23910000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.89 - 161.4119 = 0.47809999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.47809999999998 / 0.23910000000001 = 1.9996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5417.513 100 33.4642 54.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.23910000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.23910000000001 = 33.46

Taille de position USD = 33.46 x 161.89 = 5416.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 33.46 avec un stoploss a 162.1291

Avec un position size USD de 5416.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 33.46 x 0.23910000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 33.46 x 0.47809999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 33.46
  • Taille de position USD 5416.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.3 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4118
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.29225
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1727
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.05315
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.9336
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.81405
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6945
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.57495
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.4554
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.33585
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.2163
            [stop_loss] => 162.1291
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.21000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.76
            [high] => 162.10000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.76
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:46:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:46:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1
            [max_drawdown] => 1.81
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [high] => 163.70000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 1.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:46:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:46:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.89000000
            [high_after] => 163.70000000
            [low_before] => 160.55000000
            [low_after] => 160.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)