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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 21:55:14

Take profit at 161.4656 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 162.0872 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 21:55:14

With 38.6144 MSTR at 161.88$ per unit.

Position size of 6250.8939 $

Take profit at 161.4656 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 162.0872 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.564496

15m : 0.035131

1H : -0.069001

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.42
  4. atr: 0.1381178467
Details
  1. score: 1.42
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.048
  4. ema21 : 163.579
  5. ema50 : 165.516
  6. ema100 : 168.233
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00104198
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00935761
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0117005
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0377644
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.275323
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.167129
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.100325
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0785168
  17. rsi : 0.413028
  18. adx : 0.19696
  19. kc_percentage : 0.274497
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0440612
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.848519
  22. volume_ema1 : 64379.582725719
  23. volume_ema2 : 425001.35831039
  24. chop : 36.6953
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.369
  28. ema21 : 161.471
  29. ema50 : 162.653
  30. ema100 : 164.021
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0031658
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000636753
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0072661
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0130581
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0146515
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0190132
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0437443
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0380622
  41. rsi : 0.522027
  42. adx : 0.315566
  43. kc_percentage : 0.746801
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0109478
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.96824
  46. volume_ema1 : 2070.6203678051
  47. volume_ema2 : 65197.22182244
  48. chop : 71.5469
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.598
  52. ema21 : 161.365
  53. ema50 : 161.274
  54. ema100 : 161.498
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00174152
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00144298
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000565085
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00235967
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0382201
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0197239
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00680627
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00044437
  65. rsi : 0.679634
  66. adx : 0.266586
  67. kc_percentage : 1.41774
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00338333
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.902336
  70. volume_ema1 : 273.32351267235
  71. volume_ema2 : 2798.6330576541
  72. chop : 17.7787
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86116.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00705013
  78. 5m_price: 
    86723.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.564496
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86608
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000422109
  83. 15m_price: 
    86644.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.035131
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87649.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0105589
  88. 1H_price: 
    86723.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.069001
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024708135153494
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4733542319749
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4984326018809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 167.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024708135153494
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77833125778331
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80323785803237
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024708135153494
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.70308611249378
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.14846891432105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.70%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1972
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8656
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:20:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:30:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:35:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.9928
5.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9656
1.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:00:00 167.98 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.47%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.9128
9.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9656
1.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
21:55:14		 17 Dec 2025
22:15:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.88 162.0872 161.4656 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.88
  • Stop Loss: 162.0872
  • Take Profit: 161.4656

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.0872 - 161.88 = 0.2072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.88 - 161.4656 = 0.4144

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4144 / 0.2072 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6250.8939 100 38.6144 62.51
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2072

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2072 = 38.61

Taille de position USD = 38.61 x 161.88 = 6250.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.61 avec un stoploss a 162.0872

Avec un position size USD de 6250.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.61 x 0.2072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.61 x 0.4144 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 38.61
  • Taille de position USD 6250.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4656
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.362
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2584
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1548
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0512
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.9476
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.844
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7404
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6368
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5332
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.4296
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.99000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.15
            [high] => 162.34000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:55:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T23:55:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.99000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.13
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [high] => 164.01000000
            [low] => 160.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T21:55:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:55:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.89000000
            [high_after] => 163.70000000
            [low_before] => 160.55000000
            [low_after] => 160.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)