Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 22:55:52

Take profit at 0.03656 (4.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03937 (2.45 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 22:55:52

With 8554.2791 ARC at 0.03843$ per unit.

Position size of 328.7409 $

Take profit at 0.03656 (4.87 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03937 (2.45 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.030595

15m : -0.090322

1H : -0.127289

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.0006234696417
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0376376
  4. ema21 : 0.0395081
  5. ema50 : 0.0410545
  6. ema100 : 0.0395205
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.021053
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0473467
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0376665
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0275945
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.11876
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.989767
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.491949
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.152058
  17. rsi : 0.461062
  18. adx : 0.315839
  19. kc_percentage : 0.417435
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.2947
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.145262
  22. volume_ema1 : 283353.69436853
  23. volume_ema2 : 331509.41760518
  24. chop : 39.083
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0369721
  29. ema21 : 0.0370843
  30. ema50 : 0.0379823
  31. ema100 : 0.0400251
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0394297
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00302538
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0236409
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0398533
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.168036
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0999202
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.14442
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.172317
  42. rsi : 0.536398
  43. adx : 0.129755
  44. kc_percentage : 0.79655
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.11925
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.213305
  47. volume_ema1 : 60998.400707115
  48. volume_ema2 : 77537.614899385
  49. chop : 47.4497
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0375555
  54. ema21 : 0.0371169
  55. ema50 : 0.0370784
  56. ema100 : 0.0369887
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0232844
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0118157
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00103817
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0389655
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.496524
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.202193
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0515771
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0264635
  67. rsi : 0.638279
  68. adx : 0.242737
  69. kc_percentage : 1.01119
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0661241
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0474056
  72. volume_ema1 : 21191.129559198
  73. volume_ema2 : 22245.70200269
  74. chop : 29.706
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86174.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00434371
  81. 5m_price:
    86548.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.030595
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86615.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00147483
  86. 15m_price:
    86488.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.090322
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87640.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0124533
  91. 1H_price:
    86548.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.127289
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03475
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1111111111111
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.589928057554
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.546762589928
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03475
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 22:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03863
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51773233238415
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.589928057554
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.165467625899
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0366
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03616
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03854
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                        [1] => 0.03739
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 21:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03475
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 22:35:00
                        [1] => 0.03657
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 22:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03863
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51773233238415
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0861361771944
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6330325403336
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0011
2.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0018
4.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 16:15:00 0.0366 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:30:00 0.03616 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:00:00 0.03854 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:05:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 0.03739 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:50:00 0.03475 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:35:00 0.03657 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:50:00 0.03863 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.59%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.17%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0083
21.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0046
12.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:00:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 0.03475 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:45:00 0.03863 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.59%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.55%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0102
25.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0079
21.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:00:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:00:00 0.03475 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
22:55:52
18 Dec 2025
01:55:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03843 0.03937 0.03656 1.99 0.03279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03843
  • Stop Loss: 0.03937
  • Take Profit: 0.03656

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03937 - 0.03843 = 0.00094

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03843 - 0.03656 = 0.00187

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00187 / 0.00094 = 1.9894

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
328.7409 100 8554.2791 3.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00094

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00094 = 8510.64

Taille de position USD = 8510.64 x 0.03843 = 327.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 8510.64 avec un stoploss a 0.03937

Avec un position size USD de 327.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8510.64 x 0.00094 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8510.64 x 0.00187 = 15.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8510.64
  • Taille de position USD 327.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9894

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.45 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 4.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3123 % 12.77 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03655
            [stop_loss] => 0.03937
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 01:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03608
            [stop_loss] => 0.03937
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00168
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00012
            [rr_ratio] => 14
            [high] => 0.03855000
            [low] => 0.03675000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T22:55:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T00:55:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00266
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00012
            [rr_ratio] => 22.17
            [high] => 0.03855000
            [low] => 0.03577000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T22:55:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:55:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03941000
            [high_after] => 0.03855000
            [low_before] => 0.03475000
            [low_after] => 0.03577000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)