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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 22:56:44

Take profit at 161.3597 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1552 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 22:56:44

With 30.1708 MSTR at 161.89$ per unit.

Position size of 4884.3486 $

Take profit at 161.3597 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1552 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.38
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.479111

15m : 0.030418

1H : 0.095284

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.1767714402
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.012
  4. ema21 : 163.423
  5. ema50 : 165.372
  6. ema100 : 168.107
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000754771
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00863528
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0117877
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0369826
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.251527
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.166036
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.102439
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0799901
  17. rsi : 0.413599
  18. adx : 0.201899
  19. kc_percentage : 0.288307
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0421234
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.88816
  22. volume_ema1 : 45704.729783813
  23. volume_ema2 : 408662.43572913
  24. chop : 36.7654
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.288
  28. ema21 : 161.406
  29. ema50 : 162.471
  30. ema100 : 163.967
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00373114
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000731358
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00655603
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0126675
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00784975
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0109238
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.036813
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0366332
  41. rsi : 0.446982
  42. adx : 0.272607
  43. kc_percentage : 0.814932
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00993509
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.972559
  46. volume_ema1 : 1526.4659072208
  47. volume_ema2 : 55627.304027359
  48. chop : 67.7455
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.334
  52. ema21 : 161.341
  53. ema50 : 161.299
  54. ema100 : 161.434
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00344055
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -4.16525E-5
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000260739
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00282458
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0132871
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00109931
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00177464
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000948733
  65. rsi : 0.628139
  66. adx : 0.236413
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20931
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00475947
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.583074
  70. volume_ema1 : 720.91291194677
  71. volume_ema2 : 1729.118367159
  72. chop : 25.0517
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86160.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00480647
  78. 5m_price: 
    86574.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.479111
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86615.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00147483
  83. 15m_price: 
    86488.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.030418
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87640.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0121646
  88. 1H_price: 
    86574.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.095284
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4984326018809
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4984326018809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62154266890422
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62154266890422
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:40:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:55:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62154266890422
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62154266890422
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2652
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7597
0.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:40:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:55:00 161.89 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6048
2.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8597
1.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.50%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.8448
9.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8597
1.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:00:00 161.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
22:56:44		 17 Dec 2025
23:50:00		 53 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.89 162.1552 161.3597 2 134.24
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.89
  • Stop Loss: 162.1552
  • Take Profit: 161.3597

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.1552 - 161.89 = 0.26520000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.89 - 161.3597 = 0.53029999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.53029999999998 / 0.26520000000002 = 1.9996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4884.3486 100 30.1708 48.84
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.26520000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.26520000000002 = 30.17

Taille de position USD = 30.17 x 161.89 = 4884.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 30.17 avec un stoploss a 162.1552

Avec un position size USD de 4884.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 30.17 x 0.26520000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 30.17 x 0.53029999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 30.17
  • Taille de position USD 4884.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.21 % 128.21 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3597
            [entry_price] => 161.89
            [stop_loss] => 162.18172
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3597
            [entry_price] => 161.89
            [stop_loss] => 162.20824
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3597
            [entry_price] => 161.89
            [stop_loss] => 162.23476
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3597
            [entry_price] => 161.89
            [stop_loss] => 162.2878
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.56999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.45000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 1.27
            [high] => 162.34000000
            [low] => 161.32000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T22:56:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T00:56:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.77999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 2.39
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 164.28000000
            [low] => 161.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T22:56:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:56:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.89000000
            [high_after] => 164.01000000
            [low_before] => 160.60000000
            [low_after] => 161.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)