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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Dec 2025 at 23:18:36

Take profit at 161.5608 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 162.2196 (0.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Dec 2025 at 23:18:36

With 36.4257 MSTR at 162$ per unit.

Position size of 5900.9685 $

Take profit at 161.5608 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 162.2196 (0.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.32
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.431302

15m : -0.015145

1H : 0.098625

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.29
  4. atr: 0.1464166423
Details
  1. score: 1.29
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.009
  4. ema21 : 163.294
  5. ema50 : 165.24
  6. ema100 : 167.986
  7. price_ema9_diff : -6.06491E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00786468
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0117798
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0356345
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.236775
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.167046
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.10534
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0818685
  17. rsi : 0.419109
  18. adx : 0.204219
  19. kc_percentage : 0.306057
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0384039
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.922375
  22. volume_ema1 : 30478.463022542
  23. volume_ema2 : 392637.47470054
  24. chop : 36.3938
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.625
  28. ema21 : 161.558
  29. ema50 : 162.444
  30. ema100 : 163.795
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00231761
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000417242
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00545704
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0109627
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0222143
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.000298871
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0296314
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0317788
  41. rsi : 0.535732
  42. adx : 0.235718
  43. kc_percentage : 0.777566
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101004
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.981946
  46. volume_ema1 : 926.82066617219
  47. volume_ema2 : 51336.06309084
  48. chop : 60.4917
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.684
  52. ema21 : 161.525
  53. ema50 : 161.404
  54. ema100 : 161.575
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00195047
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000985185
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00075002
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00262717
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00262327
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00308109
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00278255
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0014728
  65. rsi : 0.650007
  66. adx : 0.241857
  67. kc_percentage : 1.29
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00363905
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.904847
  70. volume_ema1 : 151.04571717467
  71. volume_ema2 : 1587.4111940266
  72. chop : 19.051
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86229.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00545747
  78. 5m_price: 
    86700
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.431302
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86598.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00117045
  83. 15m_price: 
    86700
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.015145
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87617.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104729
  88. 1H_price: 
    86700
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.098625
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061690314620601
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5673981191223
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6300940438871
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
                    [1] => 162.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061690314620601
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68991236248369
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75206662937411
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:55:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:40:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
                    [1] => 162.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061690314620601
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68991236248369
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75206662937411
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1196
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9608
0.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 19:45:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:55:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:40:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:15:00 162.1 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.5404
2.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0608
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:15:00 162.1 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.7804
9.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0608
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:00:00 162.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
23:18:36		 17 Dec 2025
23:50:00		 31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162 162.2196 161.5608 2 129.15
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162
  • Stop Loss: 162.2196
  • Take Profit: 161.5608

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.2196 - 162 = 0.21960000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162 - 161.5608 = 0.4392

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4392 / 0.21960000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5900.9685 100 36.4257 59.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.21960000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.21960000000001 = 36.43

Taille de position USD = 36.43 x 162 = 5901.66

Donc, tu peux acheter 36.43 avec un stoploss a 162.2196

Avec un position size USD de 5901.66$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 36.43 x 0.21960000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 36.43 x 0.4392 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 36.43
  • Taille de position USD 5901.66
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.142 % 104.72 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5608
            [entry_price] => 162
            [stop_loss] => 162.24156
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5608
            [entry_price] => 162
            [stop_loss] => 162.26352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5608
            [entry_price] => 162
            [stop_loss] => 162.28548
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5608
            [entry_price] => 162
            [stop_loss] => 162.3294
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.88999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.34
            [rr_ratio] => 2.62
            [high] => 162.34000000
            [low] => 161.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T23:18:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T01:18:36-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.88999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 0.38
            [high] => 164.35000000
            [low] => 161.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 1.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T23:18:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T06:18:36-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.10000000
            [high_after] => 164.08000000
            [low_before] => 160.60000000
            [low_after] => 161.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)