Short Trade on QQQ 17 Dec 2025 at 23:55:34
Take profit at 603.2421 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 604.094 (0.047 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 17 Dec 2025 at 23:55:34
Take profit at 603.2421 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 604.094 (0.047 %)
Position size of 17011.125 $
Take profit at 603.2421 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 604.094 (0.047 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.253354 15m : 0.048773 1H : -0.019249 |
1 |
Indicators:
86348.4
0.00482204
86764.8
0.253354
86615.8
0.00141085
86738.1
0.048773
87618.8
-0.00974787
86764.8
-0.019249
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 613.45
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 616.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 618.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 610.27
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 605.28
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 607.44
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
[1] => 613.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
[1] => 615.32
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.081085553533015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.44248523662979
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52399567495633
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 03:15:00
[1] => 612.81
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:45:00
[1] => 615.32
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 12:00:00
[1] => 603.31
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 603.92
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:45:00
[1] => 604.09
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 601.74
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 601.88
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:45:00
[1] => 603.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3206619259653
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.3206619259653
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:40:00
[1] => 603.07
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:50:00
[1] => 603.07
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
[1] => 601.74
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:40:00
[1] => 602.56
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:50:00
[1] => 603.7
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:50:00
[1] => 602.62
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:20:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 601.88
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:50:00
[1] => 603.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3206619259653
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.3206619259653
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 18:40:00 | 603.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:50:00 | 603.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:05:00 | 601.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:40:00 | 602.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:50:00 | 603.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:50:00 | 602.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:20:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 21:30:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 601.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:50:00 | 603.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 03:15:00 | 612.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 07:45:00 | 615.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 12:00:00 | 603.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:45:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 603.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:45:00 | 604.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 601.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 601.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:45:00 | 603.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 613.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 616.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 618.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 610.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 605.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 607.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 613.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 07:00:00 | 615.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:00:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 23:55:34 |
18 Dec 2025 02:00:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.81 | 604.094 | 603.2421 | 2 | 602.89 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.094 - 603.81 = 0.28400000000011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 603.81 - 603.2421 = 0.5678999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5678999999999 / 0.28400000000011 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17011.125 | 100 | 28.173 | 170.11 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.28400000000011 = 28.17
Taille de position USD = 28.17 x 603.81 = 17009.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 28.17 avec un stoploss a 604.094
Avec un position size USD de 17009.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28.17 x 0.28400000000011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28.17 x 0.5678999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.094 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.047 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0878 % | 186.81 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.2421
[entry_price] => 603.81
[stop_loss] => 604.1224
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.2421
[entry_price] => 603.81
[stop_loss] => 604.1508
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.2421
[entry_price] => 603.81
[stop_loss] => 604.1792
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.2421
[entry_price] => 603.81
[stop_loss] => 604.236
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.44999999999993
[max_drawdown] => 0.2600000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.73
[high] => 604.07000000
[low] => 603.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.07
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.73
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T23:55:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T01:55:34-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.44999999999993
[max_drawdown] => 2.45
[rr_ratio] => 0.18
[high] => 606.26000000
[low] => 603.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.07
[mae_pct] => 0.41
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T23:55:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T06:55:34-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 604.30000000
[high_after] => 606.26000000
[low_before] => 601.88000000
[low_after] => 603.36000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)