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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 00:08:46

Take profit at 162.0248 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 162.4976 (0.097 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 00:08:46

With 50.7602 MSTR at 162.34$ per unit.

Position size of 8240.4102 $

Take profit at 162.0248 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 162.4976 (0.097 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 4.37
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.36
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.296635

15m : 0.030029

1H : -0.130476

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.57
  4. atr: 0.1050692031
Details
  1. score: 1.57
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.13
  4. ema21 : 163.235
  5. ema50 : 165.139
  6. ema100 : 167.88
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00129364
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0067705
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115309
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0330049
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.209244
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.16064
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104936
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0821121
  17. rsi : 0.435503
  18. adx : 0.201629
  19. kc_percentage : 0.356945
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0350233
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.883134
  22. volume_ema1 : 44566.72183725
  23. volume_ema2 : 381351.13628537
  24. chop : 54.3005
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.93
  28. ema21 : 161.726
  29. ema50 : 162.412
  30. ema100 : 163.643
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00252816
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00125959
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00422013
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00796595
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0403893
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0148916
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0191829
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0256142
  41. rsi : 0.570851
  42. adx : 0.198974
  43. kc_percentage : 0.964829
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00814623
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.505999
  46. volume_ema1 : 24522.360019607
  47. volume_ema2 : 49640.378758476
  48. chop : 55.2091
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 162.141
  52. ema21 : 161.907
  53. ema50 : 161.612
  54. ema100 : 161.436
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00122563
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00144285
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00182553
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00559955
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0312897
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0243185
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0155702
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00920188
  65. rsi : 0.736364
  66. adx : 0.317905
  67. kc_percentage : 1.57052
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00239781
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.57405
  70. volume_ema1 : 12954.536198391
  71. volume_ema2 : 5032.7262367681
  72. chop : 51.0399
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86351.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00346067
  78. 5m_price: 
    86650.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.296635
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86578.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000825303
  83. 15m_price: 
    86650.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.030029
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87597.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0108148
  88. 1H_price: 
    86650.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.130476
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2155968954047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5611285266458
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7805642633229
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 163.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2155968954047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68369693579466
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90123686991113
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:35:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:40:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
                    [1] => 162.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 00:05:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2155968954047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.36555142503098
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1576
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4248
0.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 20:05:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:15:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:35:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:10:00 161.65 ↑ High
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 22:40:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:15:00 162.1 ↑ High
2025-12-17 23:55:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 00:05:00 162.34 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.68%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.2624
2.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5248
1.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 11:30:00 163.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 165.76 ↑ High
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:45:00 162.34 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.56%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.78%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.5024
9.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5248
1.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:00:00 162.34 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
00:08:46		 18 Dec 2025
00:10:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.34 162.4976 162.0248 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.34
  • Stop Loss: 162.4976
  • Take Profit: 162.0248

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.4976 - 162.34 = 0.1576

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.34 - 162.0248 = 0.3152

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3152 / 0.1576 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
8240.4102 100 50.7602 82.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1576

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1576 = 50.76

Taille de position USD = 50.76 x 162.34 = 8240.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 50.76 avec un stoploss a 162.4976

Avec un position size USD de 8240.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50.76 x 0.1576 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50.76 x 0.3152 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 50.76
  • Taille de position USD 8240.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.097 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0248
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.946
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.8672
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7884
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7096
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6308
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.552
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4732
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3944
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 00:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3156
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2368
            [stop_loss] => 162.4976
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.23
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 162.21000000
            [low] => 161.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => -0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T00:08:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:08:46-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.23
            [max_drawdown] => 2.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [high] => 164.35000000
            [low] => 161.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T00:08:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T07:08:46-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.34000000
            [high_after] => 164.35000000
            [low_before] => 160.60000000
            [low_after] => 161.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)