Short Trade on QQQ 18 Dec 2025 at 01:37:38
Take profit at 603.5433 (0.067 %) and Stop Loss at 604.1533 (0.034 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 18 Dec 2025 at 01:37:38
Take profit at 603.5433 (0.067 %) and Stop Loss at 604.1533 (0.034 %)
Position size of 23761.7996 $
Take profit at 603.5433 (0.067 %) and Stop Loss at 604.1533 (0.034 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.151655 15m : 0.086817 1H : 0.014138 |
1 |
Indicators:
86407.3
0.00051845
86452.1
0.151655
86515.8
-0.0013978
86394.9
0.086817
87565.5
-0.0127159
86452.1
0.014138
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 613.45
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 616.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 618.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 610.27
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 605.28
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 607.44
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
[1] => 613.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
[1] => 615.32
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057918252523566
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.46577393329453
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52399567495633
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 12:00:00
[1] => 603.31
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
[1] => 601.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 603.92
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:45:00
[1] => 604.09
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 601.74
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 601.88
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[1] => 603.82
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:15:00
[1] => 603.36
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:30:00
[1] => 603.95
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.097785733227266
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.097785733227266
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:50:00
[1] => 602.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:20:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
[1] => 604.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 601.88
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:05:00
[1] => 603.82
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
[1] => 603.82
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:45:00
[1] => 603.42
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:50:00
[1] => 603.75
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:25:00
[1] => 603.36
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:30:00
[1] => 603.95
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.097785733227266
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.097785733227266
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 20:50:00 | 602.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:20:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 21:30:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 601.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:05:00 | 603.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 00:15:00 | 603.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 00:45:00 | 603.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:50:00 | 603.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:25:00 | 603.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:30:00 | 603.95 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 12:00:00 | 603.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:45:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 603.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:45:00 | 604.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 601.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 601.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:00:00 | 603.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:15:00 | 603.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:30:00 | 603.95 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 613.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 616.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 618.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 610.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 605.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 607.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 613.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 07:00:00 | 615.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:00:00 | 601.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 604.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 01:37:38 |
18 Dec 2025 02:00:00 |
22 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.95 | 604.1533 | 603.5433 | 2 | 607.47 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 604.1533 - 603.95 = 0.2032999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 603.95 - 603.5433 = 0.4067
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4067 / 0.2032999999999 = 2.0005
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23761.7996 | 100 | 39.344 | 237.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2032999999999 = 39.35
Taille de position USD = 39.35 x 603.95 = 23765.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 39.35 avec un stoploss a 604.1533
Avec un position size USD de 23765.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 39.35 x 0.2032999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 39.35 x 0.4067 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.067 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.034 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0646 % | 191.69 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.5433
[entry_price] => 603.95
[stop_loss] => 604.17363
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.5433
[entry_price] => 603.95
[stop_loss] => 604.19396
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.5433
[entry_price] => 603.95
[stop_loss] => 604.21429
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 603.5433
[entry_price] => 603.95
[stop_loss] => 604.25495
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.35000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 1.13
[rr_ratio] => 0.31
[high] => 605.08000000
[low] => 603.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.06
[mae_pct] => 0.19
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.31
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T01:37:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T03:37:38-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.35000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 4.75
[rr_ratio] => 0.07
[high] => 608.70000000
[low] => 603.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.06
[mae_pct] => 0.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T01:37:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T08:37:38-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 603.95000000
[high_after] => 606.26000000
[low_before] => 601.88000000
[low_after] => 603.60000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)