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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 02:39:44

Take profit at 161.6482 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 162.8059 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 02:39:44

With 20.7297 MSTR at 162.42$ per unit.

Position size of 3366.9151 $

Take profit at 161.6482 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 162.8059 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.165969

15m : -0.010535

1H : -0.087924

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.2572800279
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.9
  4. ema21 : 162.912
  5. ema50 : 164.845
  6. ema100 : 167.622
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00320685
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.006209
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0117287
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0310382
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.166399
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.14935
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104358
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0827227
  17. rsi : 0.457685
  18. adx : 0.206648
  19. kc_percentage : 0.427178
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0347807
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.88292
  22. volume_ema1 : 41783.929438778
  23. volume_ema2 : 356883.73204964
  24. chop : 56.9356
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.715
  28. ema21 : 161.657
  29. ema50 : 162.135
  30. ema100 : 163.225
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00435948
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000357557
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00295241
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00493587
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.000756224
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00304557
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0141732
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0211938
  41. rsi : 0.568165
  42. adx : 0.151656
  43. kc_percentage : 0.875803
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0125135
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.900235
  46. volume_ema1 : 3694.6432190996
  47. volume_ema2 : 37033.548487892
  48. chop : 62.0863
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.897
  52. ema21 : 161.696
  53. ema50 : 161.602
  54. ema100 : 161.475
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0032272
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00124576
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000580928
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00585056
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0277258
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0105393
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00385809
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00313462
  65. rsi : 0.627495
  66. adx : 0.351078
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15491
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0067396
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.787631
  70. volume_ema1 : 720.04758889856
  71. volume_ema2 : 3390.5535168711
  72. chop : 32.0921
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86442.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00339746
  78. 5m_price: 
    86736
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.165969
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86551
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00256086
  83. 15m_price: 
    86772.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.010535
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87543.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00922895
  88. 1H_price: 
    86736
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.087924
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2093338258835
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6175548589342
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8307210031348
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:30:00
                    [1] => 162.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2093338258835
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60207311774564
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81310905592451
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:55:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 00:05:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 00:35:00
                    [1] => 162.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:10:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:35:00
                    [1] => 161.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:55:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:05:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:35:00
                    [1] => 162.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2093338258835
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57710207880857
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78808563450201
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.79%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3859
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5382
0.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 23:55:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 00:05:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 00:35:00 162.21 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:10:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:35:00 161.68 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:45:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:55:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:05:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:35:00 162.42 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3859
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1482
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:45:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:30:00 162.42 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.1941
9.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1482
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:00:00 162.42 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
02:39:44		 18 Dec 2025
03:25:00		 45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.42 162.8059 161.6482 2 131.06
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.42
  • Stop Loss: 162.8059
  • Take Profit: 161.6482

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.8059 - 162.42 = 0.38590000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.42 - 161.6482 = 0.77179999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.77179999999998 / 0.38590000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3366.9151 100 20.7297 33.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.38590000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.38590000000002 = 20.73

Taille de position USD = 20.73 x 162.42 = 3366.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.73 avec un stoploss a 162.8059

Avec un position size USD de 3366.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.73 x 0.38590000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.73 x 0.77179999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.73
  • Taille de position USD 3366.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2586 % 108.84 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6482
            [entry_price] => 162.42
            [stop_loss] => 162.84449
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6482
            [entry_price] => 162.42
            [stop_loss] => 162.88308
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6482
            [entry_price] => 162.42
            [stop_loss] => 162.92167
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6482
            [entry_price] => 162.42
            [stop_loss] => 162.99885
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 1.28
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 163.70000000
            [low] => 161.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T02:39:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:39:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 7.15
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 169.57000000
            [low] => 161.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 4.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T02:39:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T09:39:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.42000000
            [high_after] => 167.35000000
            [low_before] => 160.89000000
            [low_after] => 161.67000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)