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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 02:48:59

Take profit at 161.6196 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0902 (0.3 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 02:48:59

With 16.3195 MSTR at 162.6$ per unit.

Position size of 2653.5429 $

Take profit at 161.6196 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0902 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.186899

15m : 0.149697

1H : -0.029335

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.3268083535
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.936
  4. ema21 : 162.928
  5. ema50 : 164.852
  6. ema100 : 167.626
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00409538
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00608786
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0116717
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.029985
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.164583
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.148528
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104005
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0825472
  17. rsi : 0.465731
  18. adx : 0.204891
  19. kc_percentage : 0.456561
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.035185
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.879669
  22. volume_ema1 : 42960.586538778
  23. volume_ema2 : 357022.16229669
  24. chop : 56.9529
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.903
  28. ema21 : 161.748
  29. ema50 : 162.156
  30. ema100 : 163.214
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00430378
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000955227
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0025163
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00376578
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00385898
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00428413
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0129592
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.020446
  41. rsi : 0.594951
  42. adx : 0.160325
  43. kc_percentage : 0.899117
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130651
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.906362
  46. volume_ema1 : 3342.4389905108
  47. volume_ema2 : 35695.562171295
  48. chop : 57.2776
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 162.07
  52. ema21 : 161.808
  53. ema50 : 161.654
  54. ema100 : 161.484
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0032696
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00161731
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000950221
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00690733
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0361732
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0171396
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00730256
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00518689
  65. rsi : 0.63605
  66. adx : 0.337734
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03389
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00899103
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.660803
  70. volume_ema1 : 1106.7389876586
  71. volume_ema2 : 3262.8251275793
  72. chop : 30.2657
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86453
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00361995
  78. 5m_price: 
    86766
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.186899
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86538.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00263054
  83. 15m_price: 
    86766
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.149697
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87544.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00889299
  88. 1H_price: 
    86766
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029335
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.6
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9435736677116
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9435736677116
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 162.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:45:00
                    [1] => 162.6
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92483396437216
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92483396437216
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 00:05:00
                    [1] => 162.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 00:35:00
                    [1] => 162.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:10:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:35:00
                    [1] => 161.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:55:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:05:00
                    [1] => 161.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:40:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:45:00
                    [1] => 162.6
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57524587121915
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57524587121915
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4902
0.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5096
0.32%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 00:05:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 00:35:00 162.21 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:10:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:35:00 161.68 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:45:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 01:55:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:05:00 161.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:40:00 161.67 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:45:00 162.6 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4902
0.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1196
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 13:45:00 162.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:30:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 17:30:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:30:00 161.39 ↑ High
2025-12-17 20:30:00 160.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 21:45:00 161.89 ↑ High
2025-12-17 22:30:00 160.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 23:45:00 162.34 ↑ High
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:45:00 162.6 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.9098
9.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1196
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 02:00:00 162.6 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
02:48:59		 18 Dec 2025
03:40:00		 51 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.6 163.0902 161.6196 2 131.06
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.6
  • Stop Loss: 163.0902
  • Take Profit: 161.6196

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.0902 - 162.6 = 0.49020000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.6 - 161.6196 = 0.9804

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9804 / 0.49020000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2653.5429 100 16.3195 26.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.49020000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.49020000000002 = 16.32

Taille de position USD = 16.32 x 162.6 = 2653.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.32 avec un stoploss a 163.0902

Avec un position size USD de 2653.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.32 x 0.49020000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.32 x 0.9804 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.32
  • Taille de position USD 2653.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.6 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6765 % 224.38 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6196
            [entry_price] => 162.6
            [stop_loss] => 163.13922
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6196
            [entry_price] => 162.6
            [stop_loss] => 163.18824
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6196
            [entry_price] => 162.6
            [stop_loss] => 163.23726
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.6196
            [entry_price] => 162.6
            [stop_loss] => 163.3353
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.1
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [high] => 163.70000000
            [low] => 162.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T02:48:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T04:48:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 6.97
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 169.57000000
            [low] => 162.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 4.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T02:48:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T09:48:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.60000000
            [high_after] => 167.88000000
            [low_before] => 161.11000000
            [low_after] => 162.15000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)