Short Trade on ETHFI 18 Dec 2025 at 03:37:47
Take profit at 0.7105 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7205 (0.46 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI 18 Dec 2025 at 03:37:47
Take profit at 0.7105 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7205 (0.46 %)
Position size of 1722.5679 $
Take profit at 0.7105 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.7205 (0.46 %)
That's a 2.03 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.669198 15m : 0.105123 1H : -0.170167 |
1 |
Indicators:
86535.5
0.00543262
87005.7
0.669198
86609.2
0.00451347
87000.2
0.105123
87533.8
-0.00603337
87005.7
-0.170167
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 0.8279
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.7375
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[1] => 0.791
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.7598
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
[1] => 0.804
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:00:00
[1] => 0.7725
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 20:00:00
[1] => 0.7898
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.8041
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[1] => 0.6965
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:00:00
[1] => 0.718
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0868628858579
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0868628858579
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
[1] => 0.7752
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:15:00
[1] => 0.7664
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:45:00
[1] => 0.7573
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.8041
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 0.718
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:15:00
[1] => 0.736
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.7033
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 0.7181
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
[1] => 0.6965
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
[1] => 0.718
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0868628858579
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0868628858579
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:00:00
[1] => 0.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:35:00
[1] => 0.7084
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:15:00
[1] => 0.6965
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:40:00
[1] => 0.7062
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
[1] => 0.7002
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:30:00
[1] => 0.7073
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:05:00
[1] => 0.7025
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:20:00
[1] => 0.708
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:00:00
[1] => 0.703
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:35:00
[1] => 0.718
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1337126600285
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1337126600285
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 23:00:00 | 0.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 23:35:00 | 0.7084 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 00:15:00 | 0.6965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:40:00 | 0.7062 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:00:00 | 0.7002 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:30:00 | 0.7073 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 02:05:00 | 0.7025 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 02:20:00 | 0.708 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 03:00:00 | 0.703 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:35:00 | 0.718 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 07:00:00 | 0.7752 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:15:00 | 0.7664 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:45:00 | 0.7573 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 0.8041 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 0.718 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:15:00 | 0.736 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 0.7033 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 0.7181 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 00:15:00 | 0.6965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:30:00 | 0.718 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 0.8279 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 0.7375 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:00:00 | 0.791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 0.7598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 08:00:00 | 0.804 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 16:00:00 | 0.7725 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 20:00:00 | 0.7898 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 0.8041 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 00:00:00 | 0.6965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:00:00 | 0.718 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 03:37:47 |
18 Dec 2025 04:35:00 |
57 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7172 | 0.7205 | 0.7105 | 2.03 | 0.5004 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7205 - 0.7172 = 0.0033000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7172 - 0.7105 = 0.0066999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066999999999999 / 0.0033000000000001 = 2.0303
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1722.5679 | 100 | 2401.7958 | 17.23 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0033000000000001 = 2424.24
Taille de position USD = 2424.24 x 0.7172 = 1738.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 2424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.7205
Avec un position size USD de 1738.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0033000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0066999999999999 = 16.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.09 $ | 0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1673 % | 36.36 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7106
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.70895
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7073
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.70565
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.704
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.70235
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7007
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.69905
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6974
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.69575
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6941
[stop_loss] => 0.7205
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0085
[max_drawdown] => 0.0012000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 7.08
[high] => 0.71840000
[low] => 0.70870000
[mfe_pct] => 1.19
[mae_pct] => 0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.08
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:37:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:37:47-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0102
[max_drawdown] => 0.0398
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 0.75700000
[low] => 0.70700000
[mfe_pct] => 1.42
[mae_pct] => 5.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:37:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T10:37:47-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.71800000
[high_after] => 0.75700000
[low_before] => 0.69650000
[low_after] => 0.70700000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)