Short Trade on BCH 18 Dec 2025 at 03:39:48
Take profit at 532.2003 (0.77 %) and Stop Loss at 538.4248 (0.39 %)
Short Trade on BCH 18 Dec 2025 at 03:39:48
Take profit at 532.2003 (0.77 %) and Stop Loss at 538.4248 (0.39 %)
Position size of 2068.0262 $
Take profit at 532.2003 (0.77 %) and Stop Loss at 538.4248 (0.39 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.482465 15m : 0.261458 1H : 0.074186 |
1 |
Indicators:
86534.2
0.00468283
86939.5
0.482465
86609.2
0.00451347
87000.2
0.261458
87532.5
-0.00677478
86939.5
0.074186
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 518.26
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 539.59
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 527
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 556.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 22:00:00
[1] => 549.58
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 02:00:00
[1] => 540.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 568
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 540.67
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 554.16
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
[1] => 527.66
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3329724267359
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5218132888603
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.022173369215
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 11:15:00
[1] => 548.07
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:30:00
[1] => 540.67
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:15:00
[1] => 549.23
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:15:00
[1] => 547.42
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
[1] => 551.6
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
[1] => 544.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
[1] => 554.16
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 544.07
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
[1] => 527.66
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
[1] => 536.62
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17330699563936
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5218132888603
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6980631467233
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:25:00
[1] => 544.24
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 544.26
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:50:00
[1] => 554.16
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:25:00
[1] => 544.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:05:00
[1] => 547
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:40:00
[1] => 546.92
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:55:00
[1] => 527.66
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:15:00
[1] => 533.89
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:55:00
[1] => 529.75
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:35:00
[1] => 536.62
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17330699563936
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1212836243511
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.296838131194
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 20:25:00 | 544.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 544.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:50:00 | 554.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:25:00 | 544.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:05:00 | 547 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 23:40:00 | 546.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:55:00 | 527.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 02:15:00 | 533.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 02:55:00 | 529.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:35:00 | 536.62 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 11:15:00 | 548.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:30:00 | 540.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:15:00 | 549.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:15:00 | 547.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:00:00 | 551.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:15:00 | 544.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:45:00 | 554.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 544.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 527.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:30:00 | 536.62 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 518.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 539.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 527 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 556.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 22:00:00 | 549.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 02:00:00 | 540.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 568 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 540.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 554.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:00:00 | 527.66 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 03:39:48 |
18 Dec 2025 04:30:00 |
50 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 536.35 | 538.4248 | 532.2003 | 2 | 436.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 538.4248 - 536.35 = 2.0748
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 536.35 - 532.2003 = 4.1497000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.1497000000001 / 2.0748 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2068.0262 | 100 | 3.8557 | 20.68 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.0748 = 3.86
Taille de position USD = 3.86 x 536.35 = 2070.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.86 avec un stoploss a 538.4248
Avec un position size USD de 2070.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.86 x 2.0748 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.86 x 4.1497000000001 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4531 % | 117.14 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.2003
[entry_price] => 536.35
[stop_loss] => 538.63228
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.2003
[entry_price] => 536.35
[stop_loss] => 538.83976
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.2003
[entry_price] => 536.35
[stop_loss] => 539.04724
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.2003
[entry_price] => 536.35
[stop_loss] => 539.4622
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.15
[max_drawdown] => 5.8
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[high] => 542.15000000
[low] => 534.20000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 1.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:39:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:39:48-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.15
[max_drawdown] => 39.49
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 575.84000000
[low] => 534.20000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 7.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:39:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T10:39:48-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 546.92000000
[high_after] => 575.84000000
[low_before] => 527.66000000
[low_after] => 534.20000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)