Short Trade on ORDI 18 Dec 2025 at 03:42:31
Take profit at 3.8843 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 3.9559 (0.61 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 18 Dec 2025 at 03:42:31
Take profit at 3.8843 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 3.9559 (0.61 %)
Position size of 1317.5403 $
Take profit at 3.8843 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 3.9559 (0.61 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.468857 15m : -0.125199 1H : 0.056182 |
1 |
Indicators:
86558.6
0.00514489
87004
0.468857
86609.2
0.00451347
87000.2
-0.125199
87533.7
-0.00605241
87004
0.056182
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 4.346
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 23:00:00
[1] => 4.73
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 4.672
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:00:00
[1] => 4.114
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
[1] => 4.053
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 06:00:00
[1] => 5.079
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 4.478
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
[1] => 3.886
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 4.032
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
[1] => 3.804
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5545634920635
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.286014721346
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.993690851735
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:30:00
[1] => 4.279
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:15:00
[1] => 4.478
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 3.976
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:00:00
[1] => 3.887
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 18:45:00
[1] => 3.886
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
[1] => 4.032
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 3.963
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
[1] => 4.02
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:30:00
[1] => 3.804
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
[1] => 3.944
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38032454361055
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.286014721346
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6803364879075
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[1] => 3.938
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:05:00
[1] => 3.971
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
[1] => 4.032
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 3.963
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:15:00
[1] => 3.976
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 23:20:00
[1] => 4.02
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:35:00
[1] => 3.804
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:20:00
[1] => 3.886
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:40:00
[1] => 3.849
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:35:00
[1] => 3.944
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38032454361055
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0784619381657
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4681735515718
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 20:20:00 | 3.938 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:05:00 | 3.971 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:35:00 | 4.032 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 3.963 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:15:00 | 3.976 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:20:00 | 4.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:35:00 | 3.804 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 02:20:00 | 3.886 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 02:40:00 | 3.849 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:35:00 | 3.944 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 07:30:00 | 4.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:15:00 | 4.478 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 3.976 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 17:00:00 | 3.887 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 18:45:00 | 3.886 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:30:00 | 4.032 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 3.963 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 23:15:00 | 4.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:30:00 | 3.804 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:30:00 | 3.944 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 4.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 23:00:00 | 4.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 4.672 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 11:00:00 | 4.114 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:00:00 | 4.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 06:00:00 | 5.079 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 4.478 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 18:00:00 | 3.886 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 4.032 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:00:00 | 3.804 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 03:42:31 |
18 Dec 2025 08:00:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.932 | 3.9559 | 3.8843 | 2 | 2.44 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.9559 - 3.932 = 0.0239
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.932 - 3.8843 = 0.0477
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0477 / 0.0239 = 1.9958
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1317.5403 | 100 | 335.0815 | 13.18 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0239 = 334.73
Taille de position USD = 334.73 x 3.932 = 1316.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 334.73 avec un stoploss a 3.9559
Avec un position size USD de 1316.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 334.73 x 0.0239 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 334.73 x 0.0477 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.119 % | 184.11 % | 13 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.8843
[entry_price] => 3.932
[stop_loss] => 3.95829
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.8843
[entry_price] => 3.932
[stop_loss] => 3.96068
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.8843
[entry_price] => 3.932
[stop_loss] => 3.96307
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.8843
[entry_price] => 3.932
[stop_loss] => 3.96785
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.03
[max_drawdown] => 0.022
[rr_ratio] => 1.36
[high] => 3.95400000
[low] => 3.90200000
[mfe_pct] => 0.76
[mae_pct] => 0.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.36
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:42:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:42:31-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.035
[max_drawdown] => 0.095
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[high] => 4.02700000
[low] => 3.89700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.89
[mae_pct] => 2.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:42:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T10:42:31-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3.98600000
[high_after] => 4.02700000
[low_before] => 3.80400000
[low_after] => 3.89700000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)