Short Trade on TRUMP 18 Dec 2025 at 03:44:22
Take profit at 5.0511 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5.0884 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 18 Dec 2025 at 03:44:22
Take profit at 5.0511 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5.0884 (0.24 %)
Position size of 3264.6976 $
Take profit at 5.0511 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5.0884 (0.24 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.533474 15m : 0.088712 1H : -0.06173 |
1 |
Indicators:
86559
0.0053487
87022
0.533474
86609.2
0.00451347
87000.2
0.088712
87534.1
-0.00585083
87022
-0.06173
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 5.333
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 5.205
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 5.293
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
[1] => 5.166
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
[1] => 5.297
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 05:00:00
[1] => 5.198
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 5.348
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:00:00
[1] => 5.085
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 5.157
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
[1] => 5.014
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7064184603452
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0969285999202
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8520143597926
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 5.348
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 11:15:00
[1] => 5.168
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 5.119
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:15:00
[1] => 5.168
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:00:00
[1] => 5.085
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:30:00
[1] => 5.155
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 5.12
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 5.157
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
[1] => 5.014
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:15:00
[1] => 5.082
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25580480125934
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0969285999202
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3562026326286
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:15:00
[1] => 5.157
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
[1] => 5.15
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:45:00
[1] => 5.093
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:50:00
[1] => 5.034
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:15:00
[1] => 5.06
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:55:00
[1] => 5.014
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:20:00
[1] => 5.05
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:30:00
[1] => 5.05
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 02:40:00
[1] => 5.034
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:25:00
[1] => 5.082
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25580480125934
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69527214938419
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.95351609058403
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 5.157 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 21:45:00 | 5.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:45:00 | 5.093 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:50:00 | 5.034 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:15:00 | 5.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:55:00 | 5.014 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 02:20:00 | 5.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 02:30:00 | 5.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 02:40:00 | 5.034 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:25:00 | 5.082 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 5.348 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 11:15:00 | 5.168 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 5.119 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 15:15:00 | 5.168 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:00:00 | 5.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:30:00 | 5.155 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 5.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:15:00 | 5.157 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 5.014 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:15:00 | 5.082 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 5.333 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 5.205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 5.293 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 09:00:00 | 5.166 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 18:00:00 | 5.297 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 05:00:00 | 5.198 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 5.348 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 17:00:00 | 5.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 5.157 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:00:00 | 5.014 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 03:44:22 |
18 Dec 2025 04:40:00 |
55 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.076 | 5.0884 | 5.0511 | 2.01 | 3.566 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.0884 - 5.076 = 0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.076 - 5.0511 = 0.0249
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0249 / 0.0124 = 2.0081
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3264.6976 | 100 | 643.1634 | 32.65 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0124 = 645.16
Taille de position USD = 645.16 x 5.076 = 3274.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 645.16 avec un stoploss a 5.0884
Avec un position size USD de 3274.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 645.16 x 0.0124 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 645.16 x 0.0249 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2758 % | 112.89 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.0511
[entry_price] => 5.076
[stop_loss] => 5.08964
[rr_ratio] => 1.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 04:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.0511
[entry_price] => 5.076
[stop_loss] => 5.09088
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.0511
[entry_price] => 5.076
[stop_loss] => 5.09212
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.0511
[entry_price] => 5.076
[stop_loss] => 5.0946
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.015
[max_drawdown] => 0.029000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[high] => 5.10500000
[low] => 5.06100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 0.57
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:44:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T05:44:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.015
[max_drawdown] => 0.117
[rr_ratio] => 0.13
[high] => 5.19300000
[low] => 5.06100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 2.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T03:44:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T10:44:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.10000000
[high_after] => 5.19200000
[low_before] => 5.01400000
[low_after] => 5.06100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)