Long Trade on BCH 18 Dec 2025 at 12:26:01
Take profit at 568.5195 (1.99 %) and Stop Loss at 551.8702 (1 %)
Long Trade on BCH 18 Dec 2025 at 12:26:01
Take profit at 568.5195 (1.99 %) and Stop Loss at 551.8702 (1 %)
Position size of 803.5232 $
Take profit at 568.5195 (1.99 %) and Stop Loss at 551.8702 (1 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_medium_confirmed |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.537217 15m : 0.214254 1H : -0.027573 |
0 |
Indicators:
87650.6
-0.0232371
85613.9
0.537217
87070.6
-0.0108207
86128.5
0.214254
87400.3
-0.0204399
85613.9
-0.027573
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 539.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 527
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 556.8
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 22:00:00
[1] => 549.58
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 02:00:00
[1] => 540.96
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 568
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 540.67
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
[1] => 554.16
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
[1] => 527.66
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 11:00:00
[1] => 578.29
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9984955645091
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3089868475913
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.5951938748437
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
[1] => 551.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 20:15:00
[1] => 544.24
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 21:45:00
[1] => 554.16
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 22:15:00
[1] => 544.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
[1] => 527.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 04:45:00
[1] => 542.15
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 06:15:00
[1] => 534.21
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 575.84
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 11:30:00
[1] => 578.29
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
[1] => 555.85
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9984955645091
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91751371772961
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0370603580102
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 05:15:00
[1] => 538.39
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 05:35:00
[1] => 541.19
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 06:25:00
[1] => 534.21
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 07:05:00
[1] => 539.76
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 07:25:00
[1] => 536.33
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:05:00
[1] => 575.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:35:00
[1] => 561.89
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 11:30:00
[1] => 569.66
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 11:40:00
[1] => 578.29
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:20:00
[1] => 555.85
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9984955645091
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91751371772961
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0370603580102
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 05:15:00 | 538.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 05:35:00 | 541.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 06:25:00 | 534.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 07:05:00 | 539.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 07:25:00 | 536.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:05:00 | 575.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 09:35:00 | 561.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:30:00 | 569.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:40:00 | 578.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:20:00 | 555.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 20:00:00 | 551.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 20:15:00 | 544.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:45:00 | 554.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 22:15:00 | 544.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 527.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 04:45:00 | 542.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 06:15:00 | 534.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 575.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 11:30:00 | 578.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 555.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 539.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 527 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 556.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 22:00:00 | 549.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 02:00:00 | 540.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 568 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 540.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 21:00:00 | 554.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 01:00:00 | 527.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:00:00 | 578.29 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 12:26:01 |
18 Dec 2025 13:10:00 |
43 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557.42 | 551.8702 | 568.5195 | 2 | 482.64 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 551.8702 - 557.42 = -5.5498
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 557.42 - 568.5195 = -11.0995
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.0995 / -5.5498 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 803.5232 | 100 | 1.4415 | 8.04 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -5.5498 = -1.44
Taille de position USD = -1.44 x 557.42 = -802.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.44 avec un stoploss a 551.8702
Avec un position size USD de -802.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.44 x -5.5498 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.44 x -11.0995 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.99 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 568.5196
[stop_loss] => 551.8702
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 13:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 571.2945
[stop_loss] => 551.8702
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 14:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 574.0694
[stop_loss] => 551.8702
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 14:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 19.14
[max_drawdown] => 1.5799999999999
[rr_ratio] => 12.11
[high] => 576.56000000
[low] => 555.84000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.43
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T12:26:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T14:26:01-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 19.14
[max_drawdown] => 1.5799999999999
[rr_ratio] => 12.11
[high] => 576.56000000
[low] => 555.84000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.43
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.11
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T12:26:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T19:26:01-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 578.29000000
[high_after] => 576.56000000
[low_before] => 539.30000000
[low_after] => 555.84000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)