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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 18 Dec 2025 at 16:33:31

Take profit at 3.1768 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 3.2581 (0.84 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 16:33:31

With 295.1133 AR at 3.231$ per unit.

Position size of 953.5109 $

Take profit at 3.1768 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 3.2581 (0.84 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 4.21
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.885054

15m : 0.058554

1H : 0.108325

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.01807215811
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.24566
  4. ema21 : 3.29806
  5. ema50 : 3.39485
  6. ema100 : 3.49995
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00451854
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0158883
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.02851
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0768447
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.150793
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.175647
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.176995
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.140371
  17. rsi : 0.419705
  18. adx : 0.319676
  19. kc_percentage : 0.292234
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0940348
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.298959
  22. volume_ema1 : 248172.11221738
  23. volume_ema2 : 191054.48420635
  24. chop : 33.9703
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.20285
  28. ema21 : 3.22581
  29. ema50 : 3.26579
  30. ema100 : 3.29955
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00878794
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00711841
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0122428
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0207758
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.179552
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.19521
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.122384
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0771167
  41. rsi : 0.489132
  42. adx : 0.340216
  43. kc_percentage : 0.552917
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0428964
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.476495
  46. volume_ema1 : 35098.174650956
  47. volume_ema2 : 67044.703755331
  48. chop : 54.2519
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.2086
  52. ema21 : 3.19635
  53. ema50 : 3.2155
  54. ema100 : 3.24898
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00697877
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00383261
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00595455
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00553515
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.107319
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.037811
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0265218
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0358334
  65. rsi : 0.626199
  66. adx : 0.264507
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00245
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0212424
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.574753
  70. volume_ema1 : 9656.1468347923
  71. volume_ema2 : 22707.165864418
  72. chop : 47.304
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86345.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0101681
  78. 5m_price: 
    85467.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.885054
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86531
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.012289
  83. 15m_price: 
    85467.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.058554
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87223.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0201348
  88. 1H_price: 
    85467.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.108325
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 3.655
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.542
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 3.659
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.668
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.243
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.124
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.5953138559445
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3610755441741
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.659411011524
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.243
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 03:30:00
                    [1] => 3.301
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 3.301
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 07:15:00
                    [1] => 3.253
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.324
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 3.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
                    [1] => 3.172
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 3.124
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                    [1] => 3.235
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18547140649149
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3610755441741
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5531370038412
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 10:40:00
                    [1] => 3.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 11:25:00
                    [1] => 3.369
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 11:45:00
                    [1] => 3.397
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 12:20:00
                    [1] => 3.172
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 13:10:00
                    [1] => 3.276
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:20:00
                    [1] => 3.214
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:50:00
                    [1] => 3.124
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 3.183
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 3.157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                    [1] => 3.235
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18547140649149
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2806461830852
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4707000316756
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1719
5.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0528
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 10:40:00 3.43 ↑ High
2025-12-18 11:25:00 3.369 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 11:45:00 3.397 ↑ High
2025-12-18 12:20:00 3.172 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 13:10:00 3.276 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:20:00 3.214 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:50:00 3.124 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 15:20:00 3.183 ↑ High
2025-12-18 15:30:00 3.157 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 3.235 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.55%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1989
6.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0528
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 02:00:00 3.243 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 03:30:00 3.301 ↑ High
2025-12-18 04:45:00 3.301 ↑ High
2025-12-18 07:15:00 3.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 3.457 ↑ High
2025-12-18 10:00:00 3.324 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 10:30:00 3.43 ↑ High
2025-12-18 12:15:00 3.172 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 14:45:00 3.124 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 3.235 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.60%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.36%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4099
12.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0528
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 12:00:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 3.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 08:00:00 3.655 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 3.542 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 15:00:00 3.659 ↑ High
2025-12-17 10:00:00 3.668 ↑ High
2025-12-18 02:00:00 3.243 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 3.457 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 3.124 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
16:33:31		 18 Dec 2025
19:20:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.231 3.2581 3.1768 2 1.672
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.231
  • Stop Loss: 3.2581
  • Take Profit: 3.1768

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2581 - 3.231 = 0.0271

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.231 - 3.1768 = 0.0542

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0542 / 0.0271 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
953.5109 100 295.1133 9.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0271

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0271 = 295.2

Taille de position USD = 295.2 x 3.231 = 953.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 295.2 avec un stoploss a 3.2581

Avec un position size USD de 953.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 295.2 x 0.0271 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 295.2 x 0.0542 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 295.2
  • Taille de position USD 953.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.68 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.84 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3405 % 40.6 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1768
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 19:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.16325
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1497
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.13615
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1226
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.10905
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0955
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.08195
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0684
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.05485
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0413
            [stop_loss] => 3.2581
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.052
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 4.73
            [high] => 3.24200000
            [low] => 3.17900000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.73
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T16:33:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T18:33:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.102
            [max_drawdown] => 0.144
            [rr_ratio] => 0.71
            [high] => 3.37500000
            [low] => 3.12900000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.16
            [mae_pct] => 4.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T16:33:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T23:33:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.27600000
            [high_after] => 3.37500000
            [low_before] => 3.12400000
            [low_after] => 3.12900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)