Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 17:54:56
Take profit at 4.8512 (4.95 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2302 (2.47 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 17:54:56
Take profit at 4.8512 (4.95 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2302 (2.47 %)
Position size of 323.1598 $
Take profit at 4.8512 (4.95 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2302 (2.47 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.156934 15m : 0.049342 1H : 0.07137 |
2 |
Indicators:
86156.6
-0.00589565
85648.7
0.156934
86453.2
-0.00990455
85597
0.049342
87147.6
-0.0172
85648.7
0.07137
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 12:55:00 | 4.9817 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 13:35:00 | 4.7188 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.9569 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 14:35:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:55:00 | 4.8857 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:35:00 | 4.8599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:55:00 | 4.6428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:30:00 | 4.7667 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:50:00 | 5.1442 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 6.9611 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 04:15:00 | 5.7209 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 06:00:00 | 5.5999 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 07:45:00 | 5.9691 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 10:15:00 | 5.0081 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:00:00 | 5.4287 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 4.6976 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:30:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:45:00 | 5.1442 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 14:00:00 | 23.5178 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 28.771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 22.8189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 07:00:00 | 15.2885 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 10.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 21:00:00 | 8.5668 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 11.4613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 17:54:56 |
18 Dec 2025 17:55:00 |
4 seconds |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1039 | 5.2302 | 4.8512 | 2 | 1.2183 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.2302 - 5.1039 = 0.1263
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.1039 - 4.8512 = 0.2527
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2527 / 0.1263 = 2.0008
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 323.1598 | 100 | 63.3162 | 3.23 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1263 = 63.34
Taille de position USD = 63.34 x 5.1039 = 323.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 63.34 avec un stoploss a 5.2302
Avec un position size USD de 323.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 63.34 x 0.1263 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 63.34 x 0.2527 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.95 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.3696 % | 257.4 % | 1 |
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