Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 18:15:10
Take profit at 5.1134 (7.88 %) and Stop Loss at 5.7698 (3.94 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 18:15:10
Take profit at 5.1134 (7.88 %) and Stop Loss at 5.7698 (3.94 %)
Position size of 202.9653 $
Take profit at 5.1134 (7.88 %) and Stop Loss at 5.7698 (3.94 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.118538 15m : -0.039137 1H : -0.030322 |
1 |
Indicators:
86105.8
-0.0061073
85580
0.118538
86432
-0.00985849
85580
-0.039137
87103.4
-0.0174896
85580
-0.030322
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 28.771
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 22.8189
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
[1] => 13.153
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 07:00:00
[1] => 15.2885
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 10.1575
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 21:00:00
[1] => 8.5668
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
[1] => 11.4613
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:00:00
[1] => 6.8758
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
[1] => 4.5795
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
[1] => 5.7543
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3557513511635
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.43683808276
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.653455617425
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
[1] => 6.9611
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 04:15:00
[1] => 5.7209
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 06:00:00
[1] => 5.5999
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 07:45:00
[1] => 5.9691
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 10:15:00
[1] => 5.0081
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 11:00:00
[1] => 5.4287
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
[1] => 4.6976
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:30:00
[1] => 4.5795
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:00:00
[1] => 4.6224
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
[1] => 5.7543
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3557513511635
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.309795777086
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 24.48727933541
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:55:00
[1] => 4.9817
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 13:35:00
[1] => 4.7188
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
[1] => 4.9569
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:35:00
[1] => 4.5795
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:55:00
[1] => 4.8857
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 15:35:00
[1] => 4.8599
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 15:55:00
[1] => 4.6428
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
[1] => 4.7667
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:00:00
[1] => 4.6224
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:05:00
[1] => 5.7543
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3557513511635
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.309795777086
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 24.48727933541
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 12:55:00 | 4.9817 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 13:35:00 | 4.7188 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.9569 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 14:35:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:55:00 | 4.8857 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:35:00 | 4.8599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:55:00 | 4.6428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:30:00 | 4.7667 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:05:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 6.9611 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 04:15:00 | 5.7209 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 06:00:00 | 5.5999 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 07:45:00 | 5.9691 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 10:15:00 | 5.0081 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:00:00 | 5.4287 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 4.6976 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:30:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 28.771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 22.8189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 07:00:00 | 15.2885 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 10.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 21:00:00 | 8.5668 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 11.4613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 18:15:10 |
18 Dec 2025 18:30:00 |
14 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.551 | 5.7698 | 5.1134 | 2 | 1.5342 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.7698 - 5.551 = 0.2188
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.551 - 5.1134 = 0.4376
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4376 / 0.2188 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202.9653 | 100 | 36.5637 | 2.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2188 = 36.56
Taille de position USD = 36.56 x 5.551 = 202.94
Donc, tu peux acheter 36.56 avec un stoploss a 5.7698
Avec un position size USD de 202.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 36.56 x 0.2188 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 36.56 x 0.4376 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.88 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 7.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5549 % | 14.08 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.1134
[stop_loss] => 5.7698
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 18:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.004
[stop_loss] => 5.7698
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.8946
[stop_loss] => 5.7698
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7852
[stop_loss] => 5.7698
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.8431
[max_drawdown] => 0.0308
[rr_ratio] => 27.37
[high] => 5.58180000
[low] => 4.70790000
[mfe_pct] => 15.19
[mae_pct] => 0.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 27.37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T18:15:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T20:15:10-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.8431
[max_drawdown] => 0.0308
[rr_ratio] => 27.37
[high] => 5.58180000
[low] => 4.70790000
[mfe_pct] => 15.19
[mae_pct] => 0.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 27.37
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T18:15:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T01:15:10-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.75430000
[high_after] => 5.58180000
[low_before] => 4.57950000
[low_after] => 4.70790000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)