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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 19:18:39

Take profit at 159.4256 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 160.3172 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 19:18:39

With 26.9185 MSTR at 160.02$ per unit.

Position size of 4307.5012 $

Take profit at 159.4256 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 160.3172 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 4.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.651669

15m : -0.112064

1H : -0.015153

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.1981287891
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.547
  4. ema21 : 161.73
  5. ema50 : 163.414
  6. ema100 : 166.04
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00328786
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00731105
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0103087
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0362567
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.125455
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0724514
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0603811
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.059456
  17. rsi : 0.412653
  18. adx : 0.188681
  19. kc_percentage : 0.286549
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.04797
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.418116
  22. volume_ema1 : 344479.82368329
  23. volume_ema2 : 592008.24015333
  24. chop : 33.6004
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 159.7
  28. ema21 : 160.011
  29. ema50 : 161.128
  30. ema100 : 161.639
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00199851
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00193866
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00693241
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0100219
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0140916
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0420737
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0486936
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0287545
  41. rsi : 0.471813
  42. adx : 0.318541
  43. kc_percentage : 0.524657
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0141397
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.971844
  46. volume_ema1 : 5191.2739282114
  47. volume_ema2 : 184381.78307095
  48. chop : 78.4857
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 159.752
  52. ema21 : 159.612
  53. ema50 : 159.79
  54. ema100 : 160.79
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00167391
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000875623
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00111252
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00479424
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0131386
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00848118
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00453482
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0162172
  65. rsi : 0.622643
  66. adx : 0.206638
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07854
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00432617
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.931371
  70. volume_ema1 : 1929.8066841791
  71. volume_ema2 : 28119.577590588
  72. chop : 47.6632
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85983.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00560511
  78. 5m_price: 
    85501.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.651669
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86347.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00979878
  83. 15m_price: 
    85501.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.112064
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87055
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0178473
  88. 1H_price: 
    85501.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.015153
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6318924338031
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.445416508178
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4996830226956
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 06:30:00
                    [1] => 162.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 163.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
                    [1] => 160.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 13:30:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.445416508178
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.16901408450705
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 15:50:00
                    [1] => 159.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:05:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:35:00
                    [1] => 159.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 17:15:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 17:50:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
                    [1] => 159.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 159.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:35:00
                    [1] => 159.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.55297222571322
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55297222571322
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2972
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2056
0.76%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 15:50:00 159.72 ↑ High
2025-12-18 16:05:00 158.22 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:35:00 159.75 ↑ High
2025-12-18 17:15:00 159.5 ↑ High
2025-12-18 17:25:00 159.5 ↑ High
2025-12-18 17:50:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 18:00:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:10:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:35:00 159.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:10:00 160.02 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.2528
5.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6856
1.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 06:00:00 164.35 ↑ High
2025-12-18 06:30:00 162.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:30:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 09:45:00 163.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 12:15:00 160.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 13:30:00 163.07 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:45:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 159.75 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:00:00 160.02 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.63%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3228
10.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6856
1.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 157.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
19:18:39		 18 Dec 2025
19:30:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.02 160.3172 159.4256 2 134.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.02
  • Stop Loss: 160.3172
  • Take Profit: 159.4256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.3172 - 160.02 = 0.2972

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.02 - 159.4256 = 0.59440000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.59440000000001 / 0.2972 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4307.5012 100 26.9185 43.08
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2972

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2972 = 26.92

Taille de position USD = 26.92 x 160.02 = 4307.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.92 avec un stoploss a 160.3172

Avec un position size USD de 4307.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.92 x 0.2972 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.92 x 0.59440000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.92
  • Taille de position USD 4307.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.4256
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.277
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.1284
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.9798
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.8312
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.6826
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.534
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.3854
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.2368
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.0882
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.9396
            [stop_loss] => 160.3172
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.05
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 160.02000000
            [low] => 158.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T19:18:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T21:18:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.05
            [max_drawdown] => 4.63
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 164.65000000
            [low] => 158.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 2.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T19:18:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-19T02:18:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 160.02000000
            [high_after] => 163.08000000
            [low_before] => 158.22000000
            [low_after] => 158.97000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)