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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 20:10:27

Take profit at 159.4366 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2817 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 20:10:27

With 28.4015 MSTR at 160$ per unit.

Position size of 4544.2333 $

Take profit at 159.4366 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2817 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 0.79
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.660386

15m : 0.039185

1H : 0.062717

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.1877837844
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.332
  4. ema21 : 161.518
  5. ema50 : 163.256
  6. ema100 : 165.907
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00207498
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00734125
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0106437
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0356081
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.17398
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0997941
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0726359
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0655813
  17. rsi : 0.418854
  18. adx : 0.187284
  19. kc_percentage : 0.303149
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.045836
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.593889
  22. volume_ema1 : 231090.85101108
  23. volume_ema2 : 569034.90315731
  24. chop : 34.1677
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 159.603
  28. ema21 : 159.868
  29. ema50 : 160.93
  30. ema100 : 161.485
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00248187
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00165401
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00659838
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00919794
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0112288
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0303831
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0427408
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0265891
  41. rsi : 0.48754
  42. adx : 0.314377
  43. kc_percentage : 0.576073
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0141178
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.985018
  46. volume_ema1 : 2451.9852577417
  47. volume_ema2 : 163671.52903944
  48. chop : 93.3611
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 159.657
  52. ema21 : 159.575
  53. ema50 : 159.669
  54. ema100 : 160.349
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00214587
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000511127
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000585992
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00218176
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00147896
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.000209635
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00375773
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0113268
  65. rsi : 0.615443
  66. adx : 0.195626
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09679
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00440604
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.990477
  70. volume_ema1 : 179.35894970617
  71. volume_ema2 : 18834.391444003
  72. chop : 43.8559
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85807.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00524551
  78. 5m_price: 
    85357.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.660386
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86308
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0110103
  83. 15m_price: 
    85357.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.039185
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87017.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0190762
  88. 1H_price: 
    85357.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.062717
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6436869729315
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.432737416001
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4996830226956
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 161.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 06:30:00
                    [1] => 162.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 163.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
                    [1] => 160.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 13:30:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012498437695294
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.432737416001
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.16901408450705
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 17:50:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
                    [1] => 159.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 159.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:35:00
                    [1] => 159.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:45:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:55:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 20:05:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.53408733898837
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53408733898837
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2617
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2966
0.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 17:25:00 159.5 ↑ High
2025-12-18 17:50:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 18:00:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:10:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:35:00 159.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:10:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:20:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:45:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:55:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 20:05:00 160 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.2883
5.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6966
1.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 01:00:00 161.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 06:00:00 164.35 ↑ High
2025-12-18 06:30:00 162.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:30:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 09:45:00 163.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 12:15:00 160.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 13:30:00 163.07 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:45:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 159.75 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:00:00 160.02 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3583
10.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6966
1.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 157.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
20:10:27		 18 Dec 2025
20:45:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160 160.2817 159.4366 2 131.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160
  • Stop Loss: 160.2817
  • Take Profit: 159.4366

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.2817 - 160 = 0.2817

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160 - 159.4366 = 0.5634

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5634 / 0.2817 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4544.2333 100 28.4015 45.44
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2817

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2817 = 28.4

Taille de position USD = 28.4 x 160 = 4544

Donc, tu peux acheter 28.4 avec un stoploss a 160.2817

Avec un position size USD de 4544$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 28.4 x 0.2817 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 28.4 x 0.5634 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 28.4
  • Taille de position USD 4544
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.35 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.4366
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.29575
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.1549
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.01405
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.8732
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.73235
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5915
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.45065
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.3098
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.16895
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.0281
            [stop_loss] => 160.2817
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 1.26
            [rr_ratio] => 0.82
            [high] => 161.26000000
            [low] => 158.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 0.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T20:10:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T22:10:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 4.65
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 164.65000000
            [low] => 158.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 2.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T20:10:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-19T03:10:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 160.02000000
            [high_after] => 164.65000000
            [low_before] => 158.61000000
            [low_after] => 158.97000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)