Short Trade on HOOD 18 Dec 2025 at 20:44:22
Take profit at 117.9296 (0.17 %) and Stop Loss at 118.2302 (0.085 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 18 Dec 2025 at 20:44:22
Take profit at 117.9296 (0.17 %) and Stop Loss at 118.2302 (0.085 %)
Position size of 9430.9182 $
Take profit at 117.9296 (0.17 %) and Stop Loss at 118.2302 (0.085 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.590216 15m : -0.074354 1H : 0.097424 |
2 |
Indicators:
85482.4
-0.00227354
85288.1
0.590216
86261.1
-0.0128239
85154.9
-0.074354
87016.3
-0.0198616
85288.1
0.097424
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 120.88
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 112.16
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 120.63
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 22:00:00
[1] => 121.37
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
[1] => 119.05
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 124.67
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
[1] => 115.69
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
[1] => 118.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:00:00
[1] => 117.06
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8872785829308
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91406116521441
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.099436186571
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 01:45:00
[1] => 117.33
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 03:15:00
[1] => 119.01
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 04:45:00
[1] => 119.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 06:15:00
[1] => 118.24
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
[1] => 117.54
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:00:00
[1] => 117.06
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:15:00
[1] => 118.28
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:00:00
[1] => 117.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:30:00
[1] => 117.8
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12681772066284
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28013582342954
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:50:00
[1] => 117.78
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:20:00
[1] => 118.28
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:45:00
[1] => 118.01
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 19:05:00
[1] => 118.23
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 19:20:00
[1] => 117.97
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 19:40:00
[1] => 118.18
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:05:00
[1] => 117.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:15:00
[1] => 117.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:25:00
[1] => 117.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:35:00
[1] => 118.13
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28013582342954
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.28013582342954
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 17:50:00 | 117.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:20:00 | 118.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 18:45:00 | 118.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 19:05:00 | 118.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 19:20:00 | 117.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 19:40:00 | 118.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:05:00 | 117.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:15:00 | 117.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:25:00 | 117.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:35:00 | 118.13 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 01:45:00 | 117.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 03:15:00 | 119.01 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 04:45:00 | 119.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 06:15:00 | 118.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:30:00 | 124.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 117.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:00:00 | 117.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:15:00 | 118.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:00:00 | 117.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:30:00 | 117.8 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 120.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 112.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 120.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 22:00:00 | 121.37 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 119.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 124.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 115.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 19:00:00 | 118.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 124.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 16:00:00 | 117.06 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 20:44:22 |
18 Dec 2025 21:20:00 |
35 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118.13 | 118.2302 | 117.9296 | 2 | 77.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 118.2302 - 118.13 = 0.1002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 118.13 - 117.9296 = 0.2004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2004 / 0.1002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9430.9182 | 100 | 79.8351 | 94.31 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1002 = 79.84
Taille de position USD = 79.84 x 118.13 = 9431.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 79.84 avec un stoploss a 118.2302
Avec un position size USD de 9431.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 79.84 x 0.1002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 79.84 x 0.2004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.085 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2116 % | 249.53 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.9296
[entry_price] => 118.13
[stop_loss] => 118.24022
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.9296
[entry_price] => 118.13
[stop_loss] => 118.25024
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.9296
[entry_price] => 118.13
[stop_loss] => 118.26026
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 117.9296
[entry_price] => 118.13
[stop_loss] => 118.2803
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.060000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 1.76
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 119.89000000
[low] => 118.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.05
[mae_pct] => 1.49
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T20:44:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T22:44:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.060000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 2.33
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 120.46000000
[low] => 118.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.05
[mae_pct] => 1.97
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T20:44:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T03:44:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 118.28000000
[high_after] => 120.30000000
[low_before] => 117.58000000
[low_after] => 118.07000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)