Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 21:49:33
Take profit at 5.0263 (6.4 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5417 (3.2 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 18 Dec 2025 at 21:49:33
Take profit at 5.0263 (6.4 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5417 (3.2 %)
Position size of 250.0739 $
Take profit at 5.0263 (6.4 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5417 (3.2 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.016351 15m : 0.050761 1H : -0.039146 |
1 |
Indicators:
85500.1
0.0016116
85637.9
-0.016351
86222.1
-0.00677602
85637.9
0.050761
86953.9
-0.015135
85637.9
-0.039146
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 14:55:00 | 4.8857 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:35:00 | 4.8599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:55:00 | 4.6428 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:30:00 | 4.7667 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:05:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 18:35:00 | 4.9662 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:15:00 | 4.7079 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:40:00 | 5.0652 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 21:45:00 | 5.46 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 06:00:00 | 5.5999 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 07:45:00 | 5.9691 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 10:15:00 | 5.0081 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 11:00:00 | 5.4287 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 4.6976 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:30:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 4.6224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:15:00 | 4.7079 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 21:45:00 | 5.46 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 28.771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 22.8189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 07:00:00 | 15.2885 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 10.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 21:00:00 | 8.5668 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 11.4613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 21:49:33 |
18 Dec 2025 22:15:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3699 | 5.5417 | 5.0263 | 2 | 1.2455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.5417 - 5.3699 = 0.1718
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.3699 - 5.0263 = 0.3436
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3436 / 0.1718 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250.0739 | 100 | 46.5696 | 2.50 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1718 = 46.57
Taille de position USD = 46.57 x 5.3699 = 250.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 46.57 avec un stoploss a 5.5417
Avec un position size USD de 250.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 46.57 x 0.1718 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 46.57 x 0.3436 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 6.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8026 % | 25.09 % | 1 |
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