Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 21:57:43

Take profit at 159.6703 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2098 (0.11 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 21:57:43

With 44.4828 MSTR at 160.03$ per unit.

Position size of 7118.5774 $

Take profit at 159.6703 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2098 (0.11 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.516663

15m : 0.053274

1H : 0.088446

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.1198966146
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.192
  4. ema21 : 161.341
  5. ema50 : 163.11
  6. ema100 : 165.781
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00101222
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00712555
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.010845
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0346936
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.194636
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.116264
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0808128
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0697967
  17. rsi : 0.422055
  18. adx : 0.188319
  19. kc_percentage : 0.324141
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0439168
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.7166
  22. volume_ema1 : 154971.62968517
  23. volume_ema2 : 546831.43036352
  24. chop : 34.6572
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 159.688
  29. ema21 : 159.785
  30. ema50 : 160.642
  31. ema100 : 161.357
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00213972
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000608069
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00533556
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00822944
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00872434
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0116572
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0308192
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0235354
  42. rsi : 0.494601
  43. adx : 0.300742
  44. kc_percentage : 0.665345
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.010098
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.995894
  47. volume_ema1 : 508.50258033422
  48. volume_ema2 : 123851.18346633
  49. chop : 82.6705
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 159.834
  54. ema21 : 159.728
  55. ema50 : 159.697
  56. ema100 : 160.028
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.001221
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000663353
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000198433
  60. price_ema100_diff : 9.85493E-6
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0082649
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00314213
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.000522043
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00467184
  67. rsi : 0.631206
  68. adx : 0.169473
  69. kc_percentage : 1.1787
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00272608
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.993673
  72. volume_ema1 : 46.447804755832
  73. volume_ema2 : 7342.2131048583
  74. chop : 21.904
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    85528.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00212069
  81. 5m_price:
    85709.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.516663
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86224.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00555834
  86. 15m_price:
    85745
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.053274
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    86955.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0143232
  91. 1H_price:
    85709.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.088446
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 160.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 160.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 171.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 162.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                        [1] => 164.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 171.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 159.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 169.57
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                        [1] => 157.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 21:00:00
                        [1] => 160.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4517560542665
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4517560542665
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 06:30:00
                        [1] => 162.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
                        [1] => 169.57
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
                        [1] => 163.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
                        [1] => 160.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 13:30:00
                        [1] => 163.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 157.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                        [1] => 159.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 160.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 21:00:00
                        [1] => 158.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 21:45:00
                        [1] => 160.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66679247656791
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.66679247656791
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 159.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 18:35:00
                        [1] => 159.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 19:10:00
                        [1] => 160.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 19:20:00
                        [1] => 160.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 19:45:00
                        [1] => 159.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 19:55:00
                        [1] => 159.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 20:05:00
                        [1] => 160
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 160
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
                        [1] => 158.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 21:50:00
                        [1] => 160.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66679247656791
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.66679247656791
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1798
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7003
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 18:10:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:35:00 159.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:10:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:20:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:45:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:55:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 20:05:00 160 ↑ High
2025-12-18 20:15:00 160 ↑ High
2025-12-18 21:10:00 158.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 21:50:00 160.03 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3602
5.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9303
1.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 06:30:00 162.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:30:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 09:45:00 163.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 12:15:00 160.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 13:30:00 163.07 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:45:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 159.75 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:00:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 21:00:00 158.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 21:45:00 160.03 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.4602
7.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9303
1.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 21:00:00 160.03 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
21:57:43
18 Dec 2025
22:00:00
2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.03 160.2098 159.6703 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.03
  • Stop Loss: 160.2098
  • Take Profit: 159.6703

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.2098 - 160.03 = 0.1798

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.03 - 159.6703 = 0.3597

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3597 / 0.1798 = 2.0006

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
7118.5774 100 44.4828 71.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1798

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1798 = 44.49

Taille de position USD = 44.49 x 160.03 = 7119.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 44.49 avec un stoploss a 160.2098

Avec un position size USD de 7119.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 44.49 x 0.1798 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 44.49 x 0.3597 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 44.49
  • Taille de position USD 7119.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.22 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6061 % 539.23 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6703
            [entry_price] => 160.03
            [stop_loss] => 160.22778
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6703
            [entry_price] => 160.03
            [stop_loss] => 160.24576
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6703
            [entry_price] => 160.03
            [stop_loss] => 160.26374
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6703
            [entry_price] => 160.03
            [stop_loss] => 160.2997
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 3.05
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 163.08000000
            [low] => 160.03000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 1.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T21:57:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T23:57:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 4.72
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 164.75000000
            [low] => 160.03000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 2.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T21:57:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-19T04:57:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 160.03000000
            [high_after] => 164.74000000
            [low_before] => 158.97000000
            [low_after] => 160.03000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)