Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 21:57:43
Take profit at 159.6703 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2098 (0.11 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 21:57:43
Take profit at 159.6703 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2098 (0.11 %)
Position size of 7118.5774 $
Take profit at 159.6703 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 160.2098 (0.11 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.516663 15m : 0.053274 1H : 0.088446 |
1 |
Indicators:
85528.5
0.00212069
85709.9
0.516663
86224.2
-0.00555834
85745
0.053274
86955.3
-0.0143232
85709.9
0.088446
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 18:10:00 | 159.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 18:35:00 | 159.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 19:10:00 | 160.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 19:20:00 | 160.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 19:45:00 | 159.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 19:55:00 | 159.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:05:00 | 160 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:15:00 | 160 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 21:10:00 | 158.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 21:50:00 | 160.03 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 06:30:00 | 162.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:30:00 | 169.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 09:45:00 | 163.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 160.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 13:30:00 | 163.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 14:45:00 | 157.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:30:00 | 159.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 19:00:00 | 160.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 21:00:00 | 158.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 21:45:00 | 160.03 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 160.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 160.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 11:00:00 | 171.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 12:00:00 | 162.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 164.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 171.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:00:00 | 159.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 169.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 157.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 21:00:00 | 160.03 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 21:57:43 |
18 Dec 2025 22:00:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.03 | 160.2098 | 159.6703 | 2 | 132.91 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 160.2098 - 160.03 = 0.1798
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 160.03 - 159.6703 = 0.3597
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3597 / 0.1798 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7118.5774 | 100 | 44.4828 | 71.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1798 = 44.49
Taille de position USD = 44.49 x 160.03 = 7119.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 44.49 avec un stoploss a 160.2098
Avec un position size USD de 7119.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 44.49 x 0.1798 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 44.49 x 0.3597 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6061 % | 539.23 % | 1 |
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