Short Trade on JUP 18 Dec 2025 at 22:17:11
Take profit at 0.1732 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1762 (0.57 %)
Short Trade on JUP 18 Dec 2025 at 22:17:11
Take profit at 0.1732 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1762 (0.57 %)
Position size of 1381.6272 $
Take profit at 0.1732 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1762 (0.57 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.840066 15m : 0.108202 1H : 0.028546 |
1 |
Indicators:
85448.9
0.00805887
86137.6
0.840066
86251
-0.00131563
86137.6
0.108202
86976.9
-0.00965024
86137.6
0.028546
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1897
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1846
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2006
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1948
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.1986
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1812
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[1] => 0.1784
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1874
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1693
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
[1] => 0.176
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62499999999999
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3077377436503
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9574719432959
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:30:00
[1] => 0.1784
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 05:30:00
[1] => 0.1821
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 06:15:00
[1] => 0.1802
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1874
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
[1] => 0.1809
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
[1] => 0.1723
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1693
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1756
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:45:00
[1] => 0.1711
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:15:00
[1] => 0.176
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62499999999999
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2209234365868
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8638223261251
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:00:00
[1] => 0.1708
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:05:00
[1] => 0.1756
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:25:00
[1] => 0.1744
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:45:00
[1] => 0.1744
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 17:55:00
[1] => 0.1753
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:30:00
[1] => 0.1749
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:45:00
[1] => 0.1739
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1747
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:45:00
[1] => 0.1711
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:15:00
[1] => 0.176
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62499999999999
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2209234365868
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8638223261251
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 16:00:00 | 0.1708 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:05:00 | 0.1756 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 17:25:00 | 0.1744 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:45:00 | 0.1744 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:55:00 | 0.1753 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 18:30:00 | 0.1749 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 18:45:00 | 0.1739 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 19:00:00 | 0.1747 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:45:00 | 0.1711 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 22:15:00 | 0.176 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 00:30:00 | 0.1784 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 05:30:00 | 0.1821 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 06:15:00 | 0.1802 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 0.1874 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 09:45:00 | 0.1809 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 0.1723 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 15:00:00 | 0.1693 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:00 | 0.1756 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 20:45:00 | 0.1711 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 22:15:00 | 0.176 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 0.1897 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 0.1846 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 11:00:00 | 0.2006 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 20:00:00 | 0.1948 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 0.1986 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 0.1812 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:00:00 | 0.1784 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 0.1874 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 15:00:00 | 0.1693 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 22:00:00 | 0.176 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 22:17:11 |
18 Dec 2025 22:20:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1752 | 0.1762 | 0.1732 | 2 | 0.1548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1762 - 0.1752 = 0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1752 - 0.1732 = 0.002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002 / 0.001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1381.6272 | 100 | 7885.9999 | 13.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.001 = 8000
Taille de position USD = 8000 x 0.1752 = 1401.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 8000 avec un stoploss a 0.1762
Avec un position size USD de 1401.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8000 x 0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8000 x 0.002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 15.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.89 $ | -0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6849 % | 119.99 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1732
[entry_price] => 0.1752
[stop_loss] => 0.1763
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1732
[entry_price] => 0.1752
[stop_loss] => 0.1764
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1732
[entry_price] => 0.1752
[stop_loss] => 0.1765
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1732
[entry_price] => 0.1752
[stop_loss] => 0.1767
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0011
[max_drawdown] => 0.0043
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 0.17950000
[low] => 0.17410000
[mfe_pct] => 0.63
[mae_pct] => 2.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T22:17:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T00:17:11-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0011
[max_drawdown] => 0.0071
[rr_ratio] => 0.15
[high] => 0.18230000
[low] => 0.17410000
[mfe_pct] => 0.63
[mae_pct] => 4.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-18T22:17:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T05:17:11-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.17600000
[high_after] => 0.18230000
[low_before] => 0.17110000
[low_after] => 0.17410000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)