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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Dec 2025 at 22:22:07

Take profit at 160.272 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 161.244 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Dec 2025 at 22:22:07

With 24.6929 MSTR at 160.92$ per unit.

Position size of 3973.584 $

Take profit at 160.272 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 161.244 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.09
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.434863

15m : 0.032312

1H : 0.038536

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.2159863747
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.337
  4. ema21 : 161.303
  5. ema50 : 163.024
  6. ema100 : 165.685
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00363158
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00598706
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0105589
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0287611
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.201191
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.126449
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0865771
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0728813
  17. rsi : 0.465043
  18. adx : 0.17895
  19. kc_percentage : 0.454088
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0423642
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.795546
  22. volume_ema1 : 107518.15139011
  23. volume_ema2 : 525881.61720417
  24. chop : 34.8018
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.223
  28. ema21 : 160.029
  29. ema50 : 160.682
  30. ema100 : 161.332
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00434718
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00121227
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00406662
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0025568
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0331395
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00360792
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0225661
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0193978
  41. rsi : 0.593125
  42. adx : 0.273791
  43. kc_percentage : 0.977076
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.011699
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.985354
  46. volume_ema1 : 1677.9064282967
  47. volume_ema2 : 114569.14007611
  48. chop : 50.982
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 160.571
  52. ema21 : 160.176
  53. ema50 : 159.893
  54. ema100 : 159.934
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00216801
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00246927
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00177073
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00615933
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0556323
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0312808
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.015024
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00551297
  65. rsi : 0.703534
  66. adx : 0.273405
  67. kc_percentage : 1.26013
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00591006
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.641715
  70. volume_ema1 : 2867.5990187333
  71. volume_ema2 : 8003.6942612819
  72. chop : 4.48865
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85515.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00794003
  78. 5m_price: 
    86194.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.434863
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86249.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00200093
  83. 15m_price: 
    86077.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032312
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86978
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00901226
  88. 1H_price: 
    86194.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.038536
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 162.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
                    [1] => 164.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 171.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 159.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 161.26
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10541981892595
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1237479396475
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.231520223152
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 06:30:00
                    [1] => 162.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
                    [1] => 169.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 163.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
                    [1] => 160.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 13:30:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 157.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 16:30:00
                    [1] => 159.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 21:00:00
                    [1] => 158.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 161.26
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10541981892595
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3335849531358
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4405233691892
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 159.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 18:35:00
                    [1] => 159.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:20:00
                    [1] => 160.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:45:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 19:55:00
                    [1] => 159.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 20:05:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 21:10:00
                    [1] => 158.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-18 22:10:00
                    [1] => 161.26
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10541981892595
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3335849531358
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4405233691892
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.33%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0160
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3020
0.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 18:10:00 159.74 ↑ High
2025-12-18 18:35:00 159.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:10:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:20:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:45:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 19:55:00 159.15 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 20:05:00 160 ↑ High
2025-12-18 20:15:00 160 ↑ High
2025-12-18 21:10:00 158.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 22:10:00 161.26 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.33%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.3260
5.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5320
1.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 06:30:00 162.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:30:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 09:45:00 163.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 12:15:00 160.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 13:30:00 163.07 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:45:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 16:30:00 159.75 ↑ High
2025-12-18 19:00:00 160.02 ↑ High
2025-12-18 21:00:00 158.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 22:00:00 161.26 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.4260
6.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5320
1.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 11:00:00 171.67 ↑ High
2025-12-16 12:00:00 162.29 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 00:00:00 164.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 10:00:00 171.08 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:00:00 159.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 09:00:00 169.57 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 157.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-18 22:00:00 161.26 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Dec 2025
22:22:07		 18 Dec 2025
22:25:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.92 161.244 160.272 2 133.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.92
  • Stop Loss: 161.244
  • Take Profit: 160.272

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.244 - 160.92 = 0.32400000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.92 - 160.272 = 0.648

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.648 / 0.32400000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3973.584 100 24.6929 39.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.32400000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.32400000000001 = 24.69

Taille de position USD = 24.69 x 160.92 = 3973.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.69 avec un stoploss a 161.244

Avec un position size USD de 3973.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.69 x 0.32400000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.69 x 0.648 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.69
  • Taille de position USD 3973.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.044 % 518.63 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.272
            [entry_price] => 160.92
            [stop_loss] => 161.2764
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.272
            [entry_price] => 160.92
            [stop_loss] => 161.3088
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.272
            [entry_price] => 160.92
            [stop_loss] => 161.3412
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.272
            [entry_price] => 160.92
            [stop_loss] => 161.406
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-18 22:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.17000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 2.16
            [rr_ratio] => -0.08
            [high] => 163.08000000
            [low] => 161.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.11
            [mae_pct] => 1.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T22:22:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-19T00:22:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.17000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 3.83
            [rr_ratio] => -0.04
            [high] => 164.75000000
            [low] => 161.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.11
            [mae_pct] => 2.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-18T22:22:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-19T05:22:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.26000000
            [high_after] => 164.75000000
            [low_before] => 158.97000000
            [low_after] => 161.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)