Short Trade on COIN 19 Dec 2025 at 01:39:18
Take profit at 244.1293 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 244.6104 (0.066 %)
Short Trade on COIN 19 Dec 2025 at 01:39:18
Take profit at 244.1293 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 244.6104 (0.066 %)
Position size of 12195.6832 $
Take profit at 244.1293 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 244.6104 (0.066 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.467465 15m : 0.146301 1H : 0.033482 |
0 |
Indicators:
86283.5
0.00879019
87042
0.467465
86399
0.00647771
86958.7
0.146301
87101.3
-0.000681152
87042
0.033482
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 269.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 246.09
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:00:00
[1] => 257
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:00:00
[1] => 250.66
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
[1] => 249.23
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
[1] => 259.33
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
[1] => 243.65
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 255.46
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:00:00
[1] => 239.19
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
[1] => 245.47
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.4155293925938
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1990885906601
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6255278230695
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 07:15:00
[1] => 250.28
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:30:00
[1] => 255.46
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:45:00
[1] => 245.67
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 12:15:00
[1] => 243.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 16:00:00
[1] => 239.19
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
[1] => 241.24
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 21:00:00
[1] => 240.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:30:00
[1] => 245.47
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 00:15:00
[1] => 243.82
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:30:00
[1] => 244.45
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2583873349192
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.2583873349192
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 23:25:00
[1] => 244.66
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 23:55:00
[1] => 244.72
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 00:05:00
[1] => 244.72
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 00:15:00
[1] => 243.82
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 00:50:00
[1] => 244.07
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:00:00
[1] => 244.07
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:10:00
[1] => 244.07
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:20:00
[1] => 244.07
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:30:00
[1] => 244.07
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 01:35:00
[1] => 244.45
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15569303888229
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.15569303888229
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 23:25:00 | 244.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 23:55:00 | 244.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 00:05:00 | 244.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 00:15:00 | 243.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 00:50:00 | 244.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 01:00:00 | 244.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 01:10:00 | 244.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 01:20:00 | 244.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 01:30:00 | 244.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 01:35:00 | 244.45 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 07:15:00 | 250.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:30:00 | 255.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 09:45:00 | 245.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 12:15:00 | 243.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 16:00:00 | 239.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 241.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 21:00:00 | 240.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 22:30:00 | 245.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 00:15:00 | 243.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 01:30:00 | 244.45 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 269.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 246.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 257 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 14:00:00 | 250.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 249.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 09:00:00 | 259.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:00:00 | 243.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 255.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 16:00:00 | 239.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 22:00:00 | 245.47 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 01:39:18 |
19 Dec 2025 01:55:00 |
15 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244.45 | 244.6104 | 244.1293 | 2 | 179.98 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 244.6104 - 244.45 = 0.16040000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 244.45 - 244.1293 = 0.32069999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.32069999999999 / 0.16040000000001 = 1.9994
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12195.6832 | 100 | 49.8903 | 121.96 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.16040000000001 = 49.88
Taille de position USD = 49.88 x 244.45 = 12193.17
Donc, tu peux acheter 49.88 avec un stoploss a 244.6104
Avec un position size USD de 12193.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 49.88 x 0.16040000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 49.88 x 0.32069999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.066 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.225 % | 342.99 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 244.1293
[entry_price] => 244.45
[stop_loss] => 244.62644
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-19 01:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 244.1293
[entry_price] => 244.45
[stop_loss] => 244.64248
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-19 01:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 244.1293
[entry_price] => 244.45
[stop_loss] => 244.65852
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-19 01:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 244.1293
[entry_price] => 244.45
[stop_loss] => 244.6906
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-19 01:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.26999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 2.33
[rr_ratio] => 0.12
[high] => 246.78000000
[low] => 244.18000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 0.95
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-19T01:39:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T03:39:18-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.26999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 3.05
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 247.50000000
[low] => 244.18000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 1.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-19T01:39:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-19T08:39:18-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 245.47000000
[high_after] => 247.50000000
[low_before] => 241.10000000
[low_after] => 244.18000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)