Long Trade on XPL 19 Dec 2025 at 22:20:28
Take profit at 0.1308 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.129 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on XPL 19 Dec 2025 at 22:20:28
Take profit at 0.1308 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.129 (0.46 %)
Position size of 1669.4139 $
Take profit at 0.1308 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 0.129 (0.46 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.398 15m : 0.025928 1H : 0.189494 |
1 |
Indicators:
87978.4
0.00215527
88168.1
0.398
87597.1
0.00651819
88168.1
0.025928
86995.1
0.013483
88168.1
0.189494
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1319
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1266
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.1336
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1222
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 00:00:00
[1] => 0.1185
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1278
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1152
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 20:00:00
[1] => 0.115
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1385
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1292
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3537906137184
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38699690402477
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1981424148607
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 04:30:00
[1] => 0.1218
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1219
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 06:45:00
[1] => 0.1266
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 08:30:00
[1] => 0.1243
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 11:30:00
[1] => 0.1314
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 12:30:00
[1] => 0.1265
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 15:15:00
[1] => 0.1385
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 19:15:00
[1] => 0.1298
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 20:30:00
[1] => 0.132
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1292
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7424242424242
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38699690402477
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1671826625387
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 17:25:00
[1] => 0.1309
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 17:35:00
[1] => 0.1323
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 18:10:00
[1] => 0.1301
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 18:55:00
[1] => 0.1313
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 19:15:00
[1] => 0.1298
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 20:30:00
[1] => 0.132
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 20:50:00
[1] => 0.132
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 21:25:00
[1] => 0.1302
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1307
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 22:10:00
[1] => 0.1292
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.76511094108646
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38699690402477
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1609907120743
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 17:25:00 | 0.1309 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 17:35:00 | 0.1323 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 18:10:00 | 0.1301 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 18:55:00 | 0.1313 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 19:15:00 | 0.1298 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 20:30:00 | 0.132 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 20:50:00 | 0.132 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 21:25:00 | 0.1302 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 22:00:00 | 0.1307 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 22:10:00 | 0.1292 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 04:30:00 | 0.1218 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 06:00:00 | 0.1219 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 06:45:00 | 0.1266 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 08:30:00 | 0.1243 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 11:30:00 | 0.1314 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 12:30:00 | 0.1265 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 15:15:00 | 0.1385 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 19:15:00 | 0.1298 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 20:30:00 | 0.132 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 22:00:00 | 0.1292 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 14:00:00 | 0.1319 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 23:00:00 | 0.1266 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 10:00:00 | 0.1336 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:00:00 | 0.1222 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 00:00:00 | 0.1185 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 09:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 0.1152 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 20:00:00 | 0.115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 15:00:00 | 0.1385 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 22:00:00 | 0.1292 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 22:20:28 |
20 Dec 2025 01:10:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1296 | 0.129 | 0.1308 | 2 | 0.0932 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.129 - 0.1296 = -0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1296 - 0.1308 = -0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0012 / -0.00059999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1669.4139 | 100 | 12881.2801 | 16.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00059999999999999 = -13333.33
Taille de position USD = -13333.33 x 0.1296 = -1728
Donc, tu peux acheter -13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.129
Avec un position size USD de -1728$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.00059999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.0012 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 15.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 7.73 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.46 $ | 0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3086 % | 66.65 % | 15 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1308
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1311
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1314
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1317
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.132
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1323
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1326
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1329
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1332
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1335
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1338
[stop_loss] => 0.129
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-20 01:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00070000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.00039999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 1.75
[high] => 0.13030000
[low] => 0.12920000
[mfe_pct] => 0.54
[mae_pct] => 0.31
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.75
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-19T22:20:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-20T00:20:28-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0024
[max_drawdown] => 0.0012
[rr_ratio] => 2
[high] => 0.13200000
[low] => 0.12840000
[mfe_pct] => 1.85
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-19T22:20:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-20T05:20:28-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.13200000
[high_after] => 0.13200000
[low_before] => 0.12920000
[low_after] => 0.12840000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)