Short Trade on FOLKS 19 Dec 2025 at 22:48:52
Take profit at 4.1197 (3.58 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3492 (1.79 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 19 Dec 2025 at 22:48:52
Take profit at 4.1197 (3.58 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3492 (1.79 %)
Position size of 446.9371 $
Take profit at 4.1197 (3.58 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3492 (1.79 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.115084 15m : -0.04733 1H : 0.059856 |
0 |
Indicators:
88048.2
0.00184358
88210.6
0.115084
87727.3
0.00550878
88210.6
-0.04733
86995.9
0.0139617
88210.6
0.059856
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Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 16:15:00 | 4.5783 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 17:10:00 | 3.8038 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 17:50:00 | 4.0429 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 18:20:00 | 4.3875 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 19:15:00 | 4.2909 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 19:20:00 | 4.129 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 20:10:00 | 4.2669 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 21:00:00 | 4.1091 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 21:50:00 | 4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 22:45:00 | 4.2895 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 07:00:00 | 4.2001 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 09:30:00 | 4.5101 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 10:15:00 | 4.2648 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 12:15:00 | 4.6318 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 13:00:00 | 4.3429 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 16:15:00 | 4.5783 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:00 | 3.8038 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 19:15:00 | 4.129 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 21:45:00 | 4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 22:45:00 | 4.2895 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 07:00:00 | 15.2885 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:00:00 | 10.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 21:00:00 | 8.5668 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 11.4613 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 07:00:00 | 4.2001 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 12:00:00 | 4.6318 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:00 | 3.8038 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 22:48:52 |
19 Dec 2025 23:15:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2727 | 4.3492 | 4.1197 | 2 | 1.2503 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.3492 - 4.2727 = 0.076499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.2727 - 4.1197 = 0.153
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.153 / 0.076499999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 446.9371 | 100 | 104.603 | 4.47 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.076499999999999 = 104.58
Taille de position USD = 104.58 x 4.2727 = 446.84
Donc, tu peux acheter 104.58 avec un stoploss a 4.3492
Avec un position size USD de 446.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 104.58 x 0.076499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 104.58 x 0.153 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 3.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3815 % | 21.31 % | 2 |
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