Long Trade on FOLKS 21 Dec 2025 at 05:16:56
Take profit at 6.7181 (12.48 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5997 (6.24 %)
Long Trade on FOLKS 21 Dec 2025 at 05:16:56
Take profit at 6.7181 (12.48 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5997 (6.24 %)
Position size of 128.1655 $
Take profit at 6.7181 (12.48 %) and Stop Loss at 5.5997 (6.24 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.030755 15m : -0.320614 1H : -0.006331 |
1 |
Indicators:
88302.8
0.00537122
88777.1
-0.030755
88238.7
0.00610139
88777.1
-0.320614
87660.6
0.0127359
88777.1
-0.006331
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:00:00
[1] => 6.8758
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
[1] => 4.5795
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 18:00:00
[1] => 5.7543
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 07:00:00
[1] => 4.2001
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 12:00:00
[1] => 4.6318
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 17:00:00
[1] => 3.8038
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 07:00:00
[1] => 6.135
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 18:00:00
[1] => 4.969
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 02:00:00
[1] => 7.5241
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 05:00:00
[1] => 5.6563
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -22.578115655029
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9878188922087
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.021586549511
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 04:15:00
[1] => 4.1738
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 07:15:00
[1] => 6.135
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 10:15:00
[1] => 4.8149
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 12:30:00
[1] => 4.8771
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 15:00:00
[1] => 5.08
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 16:15:00
[1] => 5.6264
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 18:30:00
[1] => 4.969
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 02:15:00
[1] => 7.5241
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 05:15:00
[1] => 5.6563
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -22.578115655029
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9878188922087
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.021586549511
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 22:40:00
[1] => 5.587
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 00:30:00
[1] => 6.8937
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 00:40:00
[1] => 6.1677
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 01:15:00
[1] => 6.8253
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 01:20:00
[1] => 6.2964
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 02:15:00
[1] => 7.5241
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 02:45:00
[1] => 6.9162
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 03:30:00
[1] => 7.4988
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 04:00:00
[1] => 6.5632
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 05:15:00
[1] => 5.6563
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -22.316904037979
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9878188922087
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.033449428071
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 22:40:00 | 5.587 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 00:30:00 | 6.8937 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 00:40:00 | 6.1677 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 01:15:00 | 6.8253 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 01:20:00 | 6.2964 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 02:15:00 | 7.5241 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 02:45:00 | 6.9162 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 03:30:00 | 7.4988 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 04:00:00 | 6.5632 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 05:15:00 | 5.6563 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 04:15:00 | 4.1738 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 07:15:00 | 6.135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-20 10:15:00 | 4.8149 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 12:30:00 | 4.8771 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 15:00:00 | 5.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 16:15:00 | 5.6264 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-20 18:30:00 | 4.969 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 02:15:00 | 7.5241 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 05:15:00 | 5.6563 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 08:00:00 | 6.8758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 14:00:00 | 4.5795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-18 18:00:00 | 5.7543 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 07:00:00 | 4.2001 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-19 12:00:00 | 4.6318 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:00 | 3.8038 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 07:00:00 | 6.135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-20 18:00:00 | 4.969 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 02:00:00 | 7.5241 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 05:00:00 | 5.6563 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 05:16:56 |
21 Dec 2025 08:25:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9725 | 5.5997 | 6.7181 | 2 | 1.2749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.5997 - 5.9725 = -0.3728
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.9725 - 6.7181 = -0.7456
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7456 / -0.3728 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128.1655 | 100 | 21.4593 | 1.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.3728 = -21.46
Taille de position USD = -21.46 x 5.9725 = -128.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -21.46 avec un stoploss a 5.5997
Avec un position size USD de -128.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -21.46 x -0.3728 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -21.46 x -0.7456 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -6.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -12.8539 % | 205.93 % | 23 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.7181
[entry_price] => 5.9725
[stop_loss] => 5.56242
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-21 08:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.7181
[entry_price] => 5.9725
[stop_loss] => 5.52514
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-21 08:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.7181
[entry_price] => 5.9725
[stop_loss] => 5.48786
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-21 08:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.7181
[entry_price] => 5.9725
[stop_loss] => 5.4133
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-21 08:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.2575
[max_drawdown] => 0.3468
[rr_ratio] => 0.74
[high] => 6.23000000
[low] => 5.62570000
[mfe_pct] => 4.31
[mae_pct] => 5.81
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.74
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-21T05:16:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-21T07:16:56-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.2575
[max_drawdown] => 1.2504
[rr_ratio] => 0.21
[high] => 6.23000000
[low] => 4.72210000
[mfe_pct] => 4.31
[mae_pct] => 20.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-21T05:16:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-21T12:16:56-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.52410000
[high_after] => 6.23000000
[low_before] => 5.65630000
[low_after] => 4.72210000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)