Short Trade on AAVE 21 Dec 2025 at 11:51:39

Take profit at 175.3083 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 177.2458 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 21 Dec 2025 at 11:51:39

With 12.387 AAVE at 176.6$ per unit.

Position size of 2187.5435 $

Take profit at 175.3083 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 177.2458 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.43
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.829143

15m : 0.033687

1H : 0.106625

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.4305590584
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 176.38
  4. ema21 : 177.625
  5. ema50 : 179.064
  6. ema100 : 180.224
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00124364
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0070079
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00803453
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0201108
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.108524
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.104321
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0657805
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0425222
  17. rsi : 0.435393
  18. adx : 0.217394
  19. kc_percentage : 0.359527
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0378431
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0282097
  22. volume_ema1 : 402881.71533152
  23. volume_ema2 : 414576.80670731
  24. chop : 39.6327
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 175.533
  29. ema21 : 175.74
  30. ema50 : 176.752
  31. ema100 : 178.037
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00607731
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0011791
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0057261
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00807453
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.00638951
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0510194
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0477329
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0377382
  42. rsi : 0.528493
  43. adx : 0.255928
  44. kc_percentage : 0.7621
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0193551
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.501185
  47. volume_ema1 : 48164.034815321
  48. volume_ema2 : 96556.95735175
  49. chop : 49.8762
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 176.074
  54. ema21 : 175.594
  55. ema50 : 175.597
  56. ema100 : 176.201
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00298391
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0027335
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -1.41127E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00226148
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0659139
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0447197
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0105664
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00348681
  67. rsi : 0.668489
  68. adx : 0.258012
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10459
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00918395
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.636878
  72. volume_ema1 : 11809.698052452
  73. volume_ema2 : 32522.728110125
  74. chop : 40.7669
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88236.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000241476
  81. 5m_price:
    88215.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.829143
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88223.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000342912
  86. 15m_price:
    88193
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.033687
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87798.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00474419
  91. 1H_price:
    88215.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.106625
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 185.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-18 14:00:00
                        [1] => 169.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-19 02:00:00
                        [1] => 183.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-19 15:00:00
                        [1] => 187.41
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-19 21:00:00
                        [1] => 180.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 03:00:00
                        [1] => 183.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 21:00:00
                        [1] => 176.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 04:00:00
                        [1] => 179.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 08:00:00
                        [1] => 173.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8007002723281
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0739456961294
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.945696129405
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 182.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 13:30:00
                        [1] => 180.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 16:00:00
                        [1] => 181.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 21:30:00
                        [1] => 176.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 178.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 00:15:00
                        [1] => 178.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 02:00:00
                        [1] => 177.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 04:45:00
                        [1] => 179.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 08:45:00
                        [1] => 173.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 11:45:00
                        [1] => 176.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.005659309564228
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0739456961294
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0797227036395
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 06:15:00
                        [1] => 177.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 06:35:00
                        [1] => 178.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 07:00:00
                        [1] => 177.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 07:15:00
                        [1] => 178.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 08:55:00
                        [1] => 173.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:05:00
                        [1] => 175.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:35:00
                        [1] => 173.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:55:00
                        [1] => 174.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 10:20:00
                        [1] => 173.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 11:50:00
                        [1] => 176.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.005659309564228
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5634879576939
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5692360751854
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.57%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4842
0.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2083
1.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 06:15:00 177.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 06:35:00 178.73 ↑ High
2025-12-21 07:00:00 177.77 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 07:15:00 178.55 ↑ High
2025-12-21 08:55:00 173.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 09:05:00 175.06 ↑ High
2025-12-21 09:35:00 173.78 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 09:55:00 174.78 ↑ High
2025-12-21 10:20:00 173.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 11:50:00 176.7 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.0742
2.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2083
1.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-20 11:00:00 182.32 ↑ High
2025-12-20 13:30:00 180.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-20 16:00:00 181.47 ↑ High
2025-12-20 21:30:00 176.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-20 22:15:00 178.33 ↑ High
2025-12-21 00:15:00 178.51 ↑ High
2025-12-21 02:00:00 177.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 04:45:00 179.93 ↑ High
2025-12-21 08:45:00 173.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 11:45:00 176.7 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.1642
5.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9983
3.42%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-18 10:00:00 185.08 ↑ High
2025-12-18 14:00:00 169.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-19 02:00:00 183.5 ↑ High
2025-12-19 15:00:00 187.41 ↑ High
2025-12-19 21:00:00 180.09 ↓ Low
2025-12-20 03:00:00 183.19 ↑ High
2025-12-20 09:00:00 180.03 ↓ Low
2025-12-20 21:00:00 176.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 04:00:00 179.93 ↑ High
2025-12-21 08:00:00 173.1 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Dec 2025
11:51:39
21 Dec 2025
13:10:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
176.6 177.2458 175.3083 2 114.82
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 176.6
  • Stop Loss: 177.2458
  • Take Profit: 175.3083

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 177.2458 - 176.6 = 0.64580000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 176.6 - 175.3083 = 1.2917

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2917 / 0.64580000000001 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2187.5435 100 12.387 21.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.64580000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.64580000000001 = 12.39

Taille de position USD = 12.39 x 176.6 = 2188.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.39 avec un stoploss a 177.2458

Avec un position size USD de 2188.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.39 x 0.64580000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.39 x 1.2917 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.39
  • Taille de position USD 2188.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.73 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2775 % 75.88 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.3084
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 13:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.9855
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.6626
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.3397
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.0168
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 173.6939
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 173.371
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 173.0481
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7252
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4023
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.0794
            [stop_loss] => 177.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-21 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.49
            [max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 3.04
            [high] => 177.09000000
            [low] => 175.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-21T11:51:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-21T13:51:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 20.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 41.71
            [high] => 177.09000000
            [low] => 156.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 41.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-21T11:51:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-21T18:51:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.15000000
            [high_after] => 177.09000000
            [low_before] => 173.10000000
            [low_after] => 156.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)