Short Trade on TON 21 Dec 2025 at 22:37:03
Take profit at 1.4431 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4582 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on TON 21 Dec 2025 at 22:37:03
Take profit at 1.4431 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4582 (0.34 %)
Position size of 2305.9953 $
Take profit at 1.4431 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4582 (0.34 %)
That's a 2.02 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.693052 15m : -0.06223 1H : -0.025858 |
0 |
Indicators:
88541.6
0.0020904
88726.7
0.693052
88342.7
0.00358603
88659.5
-0.06223
87765.8
0.010948
88726.7
-0.025858
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-18 22:00:00
[1] => 1.4698
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-19 15:00:00
[1] => 1.4961
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 00:00:00
[1] => 1.4641
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 09:00:00
[1] => 1.479
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 12:00:00
[1] => 1.499
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-20 21:00:00
[1] => 1.4726
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 04:00:00
[1] => 1.4907
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
[1] => 1.4542
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 19:00:00
[1] => 1.4792
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 21:00:00
[1] => 1.4312
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1498107084911
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1319172722191
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3538289547233
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 03:15:00
[1] => 1.477
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 04:00:00
[1] => 1.4907
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 05:30:00
[1] => 1.4825
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 09:30:00
[1] => 1.4542
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 12:00:00
[1] => 1.4719
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 13:00:00
[1] => 1.4588
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 17:15:00
[1] => 1.4499
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 19:15:00
[1] => 1.4792
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 21:00:00
[1] => 1.4312
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 22:30:00
[1] => 1.4535
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41967664258686
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1319172722191
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5581330352152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 15:40:00
[1] => 1.4599
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 16:20:00
[1] => 1.4621
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 17:15:00
[1] => 1.4559
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 17:25:00
[1] => 1.4499
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 18:15:00
[1] => 1.4644
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 18:30:00
[1] => 1.4545
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 19:15:00
[1] => 1.4792
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 20:20:00
[1] => 1.4658
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 21:05:00
[1] => 1.4312
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 22:35:00
[1] => 1.4535
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41967664258686
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1319172722191
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5581330352152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 15:40:00 | 1.4599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 16:20:00 | 1.4621 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 17:15:00 | 1.4559 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 17:25:00 | 1.4499 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 18:15:00 | 1.4644 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 18:30:00 | 1.4545 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 19:15:00 | 1.4792 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 20:20:00 | 1.4658 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 21:05:00 | 1.4312 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 22:35:00 | 1.4535 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 03:15:00 | 1.477 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 04:00:00 | 1.4907 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 05:30:00 | 1.4825 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 09:30:00 | 1.4542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 12:00:00 | 1.4719 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 13:00:00 | 1.4588 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 17:15:00 | 1.4499 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 19:15:00 | 1.4792 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 21:00:00 | 1.4312 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 22:30:00 | 1.4535 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 22:00:00 | 1.4698 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-19 15:00:00 | 1.4961 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-20 00:00:00 | 1.4641 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 09:00:00 | 1.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-20 12:00:00 | 1.499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-20 21:00:00 | 1.4726 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 04:00:00 | 1.4907 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 09:00:00 | 1.4542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 19:00:00 | 1.4792 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 21:00:00 | 1.4312 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 22:37:03 |
22 Dec 2025 02:55:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4532 | 1.4582 | 1.4431 | 2.02 | 1.2912 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4582 - 1.4532 = 0.0049999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4532 - 1.4431 = 0.0101
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.0049999999999999 = 2.02
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2305.9953 | 100 | 1586.8396 | 23.06 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0049999999999999 = 1600
Taille de position USD = 1600 x 1.4532 = 2325.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 1600 avec un stoploss a 1.4582
Avec un position size USD de 2325.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1600 x 0.0049999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1600 x 0.0101 = 16.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3922 % | 113.98 % | 19 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4431
[entry_price] => 1.4532
[stop_loss] => 1.4587
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-22 02:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4431
[entry_price] => 1.4532
[stop_loss] => 1.4592
[rr_ratio] => 1.68
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-22 03:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4431
[entry_price] => 1.4532
[stop_loss] => 1.4597
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-22 03:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4431
[entry_price] => 1.4532
[stop_loss] => 1.4607
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-22 03:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0078
[max_drawdown] => 0.004
[rr_ratio] => 1.95
[high] => 1.45720000
[low] => 1.44540000
[mfe_pct] => 0.54
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.95
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-21T22:37:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-22T00:37:03-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0078
[max_drawdown] => 0.0211
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[high] => 1.47430000
[low] => 1.44540000
[mfe_pct] => 0.54
[mae_pct] => 1.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-21T22:37:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-22T05:37:03-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.47920000
[high_after] => 1.47430000
[low_before] => 1.43120000
[low_after] => 1.44540000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)