Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 23 Dec 2025 at 15:43:16

Take profit at 157.4876 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 159.7112 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 23 Dec 2025 at 15:43:16

With 10.7933 MSTR at 158.97$ per unit.

Position size of 1715.8179 $

Take profit at 157.4876 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 159.7112 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 8.78
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.43
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.747884

15m : 0.04594

1H : 0.096647

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.4941316903
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 159.466
  4. ema21 : 161.562
  5. ema50 : 163.689
  6. ema100 : 164.535
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00311212
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0129772
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.012992
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0338247
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.23469
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.180835
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105231
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0558181
  17. rsi : 0.3432
  18. adx : 0.454763
  19. kc_percentage : 0.117731
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0404592
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.516101
  22. volume_ema1 : 833785.01628776
  23. volume_ema2 : 549953.32723775
  24. chop : 32.3624
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 157.626
  28. ema21 : 158.554
  29. ema50 : 160.36
  30. ema100 : 161.894
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00852636
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00585422
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0112655
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0180648
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.112022
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.112707
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0882811
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0597063
  41. rsi : 0.390763
  42. adx : 0.431928
  43. kc_percentage : 0.647337
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0211527
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.71075
  46. volume_ema1 : 66467.705111493
  47. volume_ema2 : 229793.39084172
  48. chop : 52.8995
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 157.941
  52. ema21 : 157.823
  53. ema50 : 158.393
  54. ema100 : 159.525
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00651105
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00074559
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00359725
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00348089
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0194792
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00549155
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0227985
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.026384
  65. rsi : 0.614183
  66. adx : 0.184632
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06955
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0127313
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.875882
  70. volume_ema1 : 8913.7160486699
  71. volume_ema2 : 71816.482905321
  72. chop : 42.1019
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87705.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0046933
  78. 5m_price: 
    88117.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.747884
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87792.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00110736
  83. 15m_price: 
    87695.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.04594
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88090.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000299379
  88. 1H_price: 
    88117.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.096647
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 171.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
                    [1] => 164.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1012002680802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3639260675589
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6080305927342
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:15:00
                    [1] => 165.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 21:30:00
                    [1] => 165.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 22:00:00
                    [1] => 164.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:15:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 160.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:30:00
                    [1] => 159.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01257387149504
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3639260675589
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.376673040153
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 10:40:00
                    [1] => 160.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 10:50:00
                    [1] => 158.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 11:20:00
                    [1] => 160.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:05:00
                    [1] => 160.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:55:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 13:35:00
                    [1] => 159.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:25:00
                    [1] => 156.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:40:00
                    [1] => 159.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01257387149504
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3574660633484
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3702122235677
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9988
0.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5876
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 10:40:00 160.41 ↑ High
2025-12-23 10:50:00 158.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:20:00 160.48 ↑ High
2025-12-23 11:40:00 159.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 12:05:00 160.71 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:55:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 13:35:00 159.11 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:25:00 156.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:40:00 159.06 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.1288
3.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5876
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 20:15:00 165.19 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 21:30:00 165.84 ↑ High
2025-12-22 22:00:00 164.49 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 01:15:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 10:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 12:00:00 160.71 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:30:00 159.06 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.4088
7.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5876
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 11:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 13:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 20:00:00 168.2 ↑ High
2025-12-22 07:00:00 171.12 ↑ High
2025-12-22 15:00:00 164.07 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 20:00:00 165.98 ↑ High
2025-12-23 01:00:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 156.9 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
15:43:16		 23 Dec 2025
16:05:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
158.97 159.7112 157.4876 2 128.51
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 158.97
  • Stop Loss: 159.7112
  • Take Profit: 157.4876

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 159.7112 - 158.97 = 0.74119999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 158.97 - 157.4876 = 1.4824

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4824 / 0.74119999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1715.8179 100 10.7933 17.16
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.74119999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.74119999999999 = 10.79

Taille de position USD = 10.79 x 158.97 = 1715.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.79 avec un stoploss a 159.7112

Avec un position size USD de 1715.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.79 x 0.74119999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.79 x 1.4824 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.79
  • Taille de position USD 1715.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.93 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2642 % 56.66 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.4876
            [stop_loss] => 159.7112
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 16:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.117
            [stop_loss] => 159.7112
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 16:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.92
            [max_drawdown] => 0.41999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.57
            [high] => 159.39000000
            [low] => 157.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T15:43:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T17:43:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.36
            [max_drawdown] => 0.41999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 5.62
            [high] => 159.39000000
            [low] => 156.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T15:43:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T22:43:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 160.71000000
            [high_after] => 159.39000000
            [low_before] => 156.90000000
            [low_after] => 156.87000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)