Short Trade on RIVER 23 Dec 2025 at 18:14:17
Take profit at 4.5638 (3.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8086 (1.73 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 23 Dec 2025 at 18:14:17
Take profit at 4.5638 (3.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8086 (1.73 %)
Position size of 463.2895 $
Take profit at 4.5638 (3.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8086 (1.73 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.233318 15m : -0.182294 1H : 0.152432 |
1 |
Indicators:
87537.9
-0.0032774
87251.1
0.233318
87803.4
-0.00629066
87251.1
-0.182294
88198.4
-0.010741
87251.1
0.152432
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
[1] => 3.944
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
[1] => 4.912
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 16:00:00
[1] => 4.255
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 00:00:00
[1] => 5.836
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
[1] => 5.746
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
[1] => 5.153
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
[1] => 5.869
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
[1] => 5.31
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
[1] => 4.464
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
[1] => 4.506
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -19.304821945817
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1043053706169
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94086021505376
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 22:30:00
[1] => 5.418
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 5.333
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 02:15:00
[1] => 5.655
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
[1] => 4.513
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
[1] => 4.625
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 08:00:00
[1] => 4.947
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
[1] => 4.464
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 13:15:00
[1] => 4.865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:30:00
[1] => 4.506
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:00:00
[1] => 4.755
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39957939011567
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1043053706169
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.525965379494
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:30:00
[1] => 4.546
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 13:15:00
[1] => 4.865
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 13:55:00
[1] => 4.843
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 14:30:00
[1] => 4.68
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 14:50:00
[1] => 4.78
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 16:20:00
[1] => 4.548
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 16:50:00
[1] => 4.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
[1] => 4.63
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:35:00
[1] => 4.506
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:10:00
[1] => 4.755
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39957939011567
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1043053706169
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.525965379494
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 12:30:00 | 4.546 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 13:15:00 | 4.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 13:55:00 | 4.843 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 14:30:00 | 4.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 14:50:00 | 4.78 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 16:20:00 | 4.548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 16:50:00 | 4.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 17:15:00 | 4.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:35:00 | 4.506 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:10:00 | 4.755 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 22:30:00 | 5.418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 5.333 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 02:15:00 | 5.655 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 06:00:00 | 4.513 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 07:30:00 | 4.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 08:00:00 | 4.947 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 11:00:00 | 4.464 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 13:15:00 | 4.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:30:00 | 4.506 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:00:00 | 4.755 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 09:00:00 | 3.944 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 11:00:00 | 4.912 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-21 16:00:00 | 4.255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 00:00:00 | 5.836 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 08:00:00 | 5.746 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 09:00:00 | 5.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 17:00:00 | 5.869 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 20:00:00 | 5.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 11:00:00 | 4.464 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 17:00:00 | 4.506 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 18:14:17 |
23 Dec 2025 18:20:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.727 | 4.8086 | 4.5638 | 2 | 11.637 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.8086 - 4.727 = 0.0816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.727 - 4.5638 = 0.1632
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1632 / 0.0816 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 463.2895 | 100 | 98.0092 | 4.63 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0816 = 98.04
Taille de position USD = 98.04 x 4.727 = 463.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 98.04 avec un stoploss a 4.8086
Avec un position size USD de 463.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 98.04 x 0.0816 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 98.04 x 0.1632 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.45 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.73 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3271 % | 134.8 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5638
[entry_price] => 4.727
[stop_loss] => 4.81676
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5638
[entry_price] => 4.727
[stop_loss] => 4.82492
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5638
[entry_price] => 4.727
[stop_loss] => 4.83308
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5638
[entry_price] => 4.727
[stop_loss] => 4.8494
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.022
[max_drawdown] => 0.484
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 5.21100000
[low] => 4.70500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.47
[mae_pct] => 10.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T18:14:17-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-23T20:14:17-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.312
[max_drawdown] => 0.484
[rr_ratio] => 0.64
[high] => 5.21100000
[low] => 4.41500000
[mfe_pct] => 6.6
[mae_pct] => 10.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.64
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T18:14:17-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T01:14:17-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.78000000
[high_after] => 5.21100000
[low_before] => 4.50600000
[low_after] => 4.41500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)