Short Trade on RIVER 23 Dec 2025 at 18:32:15

Take profit at 4.6239 (3.67 %) and Stop Loss at 4.888 (1.83 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 23 Dec 2025 at 18:32:15

With 90.8592 RIVER at 4.8$ per unit.

Position size of 436.1244 $

Take profit at 4.6239 (3.67 %) and Stop Loss at 4.888 (1.83 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.64
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.274794

15m : -0.053064

1H : 0.034784

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.05869885156
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.72814
  4. ema21 : 4.88395
  5. ema50 : 4.94106
  6. ema100 : 4.70468
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0151969
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0319024
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115586
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.020259
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.664626
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.623702
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.242186
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00132706
  17. rsi : 0.455604
  18. adx : 0.284847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.419137
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.188491
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.395508
  22. volume_ema1 : 278292.597156
  23. volume_ema2 : 460374.63149085
  24. chop : 70.0516
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.6906
  29. ema21 : 4.68164
  30. ema50 : 4.77375
  31. ema100 : 4.98196
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0233225
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00191278
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0192942
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0365248
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0689578
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0825696
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.131971
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.149863
  42. rsi : 0.588401
  43. adx : 0.18761
  44. kc_percentage : 0.803765
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.081851
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.106003
  47. volume_ema1 : 76025.913148875
  48. volume_ema2 : 85040.490200654
  49. chop : 50.8215
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.7217
  54. ema21 : 4.66617
  55. ema50 : 4.65778
  56. ema100 : 4.66123
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0165822
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0119002
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00180019
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0297698
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.255772
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.1021
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.016949
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00230059
  67. rsi : 0.682623
  68. adx : 0.285372
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02731
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0521074
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.189379
  72. volume_ema1 : 31667.151066804
  73. volume_ema2 : 26624.9243125
  74. chop : 26.0127
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87586.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00139068
  81. 5m_price:
    87464.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.274794
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87818.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00403501
  86. 15m_price:
    87464.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.053064
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88202.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00836898
  91. 1H_price:
    87464.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.034784
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                        [1] => 3.944
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.912
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 16:00:00
                        [1] => 4.255
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 00:00:00
                        [1] => 5.836
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -18.674390867269
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9254327563249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94086021505376
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 22:30:00
                        [1] => 5.418
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 02:15:00
                        [1] => 5.655
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4.513
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
                        [1] => 4.625
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4.947
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4.865
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:30:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
                        [1] => 4.855
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6889804325438
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9254327563249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7452285841101
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 12:30:00
                        [1] => 4.546
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4.865
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 13:55:00
                        [1] => 4.843
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:30:00
                        [1] => 4.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:50:00
                        [1] => 4.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 16:20:00
                        [1] => 4.548
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 16:50:00
                        [1] => 4.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 4.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:35:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
                        [1] => 4.855
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6889804325438
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9254327563249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7452285841101
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.69%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.93%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0230
0.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1179
2.55%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 12:30:00 4.546 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 13:15:00 4.865 ↑ High
2025-12-23 13:55:00 4.843 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:30:00 4.68 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:50:00 4.78 ↑ High
2025-12-23 16:20:00 4.548 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 16:50:00 4.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:15:00 4.63 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:35:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:20:00 4.855 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.69%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.93%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7670
15.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1599
3.46%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 22:30:00 5.418 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 01:00:00 5.333 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 02:15:00 5.655 ↑ High
2025-12-23 06:00:00 4.513 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 07:30:00 4.625 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 08:00:00 4.947 ↑ High
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 13:15:00 4.865 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:30:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:15:00 4.855 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-18.67%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.93%
Bars Since Swing High
25 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9810
20.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6799
14.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 3.944 ↓ Low
2025-12-21 11:00:00 4.912 ↑ High
2025-12-21 16:00:00 4.255 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 00:00:00 5.836 ↑ High
2025-12-22 08:00:00 5.746 ↑ High
2025-12-22 09:00:00 5.153 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 17:00:00 5.869 ↑ High
2025-12-22 20:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:00:00 4.506 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
18:32:15
23 Dec 2025
19:10:00
37 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.8 4.888 4.6239 2 11.037
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.8
  • Stop Loss: 4.888
  • Take Profit: 4.6239

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.888 - 4.8 = 0.088

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.8 - 4.6239 = 0.1761

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1761 / 0.088 = 2.0011

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
436.1244 100 90.8592 4.36
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.088

Taille de position = 8 / 0.088 = 90.91

Taille de position USD = 90.91 x 4.8 = 436.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 90.91 avec un stoploss a 4.888

Avec un position size USD de 436.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 90.91 x 0.088 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 90.91 x 0.1761 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 90.91
  • Taille de position USD 436.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0011

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.67 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7708 % 151.14 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.6239
            [entry_price] => 4.8
            [stop_loss] => 4.8968
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.6239
            [entry_price] => 4.8
            [stop_loss] => 4.9056
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.6239
            [entry_price] => 4.8
            [stop_loss] => 4.9144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.6239
            [entry_price] => 4.8
            [stop_loss] => 4.932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.040999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.411
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 5.21100000
            [low] => 4.75900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.85
            [mae_pct] => 8.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T18:32:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T20:32:15-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.385
            [max_drawdown] => 0.411
            [rr_ratio] => 0.94
            [high] => 5.21100000
            [low] => 4.41500000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.02
            [mae_pct] => 8.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T18:32:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T01:32:15-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.85500000
            [high_after] => 5.21100000
            [low_before] => 4.50600000
            [low_after] => 4.41500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)