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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 23 Dec 2025 at 19:04:10

Take profit at 157.6918 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 158.4991 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 23 Dec 2025 at 19:04:10

With 29.7264 MSTR at 158.23$ per unit.

Position size of 4703.6037 $

Take profit at 157.6918 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 158.4991 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 6.66
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.714329

15m : -0.075859

1H : 0.161412

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.1794142091
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 158.537
  4. ema21 : 160.378
  5. ema50 : 162.832
  6. ema100 : 164.136
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00194157
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0114756
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150749
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.035987
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.263801
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.214462
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.132599
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0751895
  17. rsi : 0.312269
  18. adx : 0.482428
  19. kc_percentage : 0.11877
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0333367
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.617877
  22. volume_ema1 : 176748.85455519
  23. volume_ema2 : 462545.06342213
  24. chop : 35.2057
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 157.948
  28. ema21 : 158.109
  29. ema50 : 159.343
  30. ema100 : 161.038
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00178335
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00101628
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00774662
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0174426
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00527446
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0217429
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0462526
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0439004
  41. rsi : 0.489906
  42. adx : 0.200319
  43. kc_percentage : 0.572307
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0132085
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.963289
  46. volume_ema1 : 4847.839668302
  47. volume_ema2 : 132056.74194545
  48. chop : 58.4936
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 157.945
  52. ema21 : 157.877
  53. ema50 : 157.921
  54. ema100 : 158.164
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00180357
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000430004
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000281976
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000412673
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00666285
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00221365
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00171823
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00437246
  65. rsi : 0.600011
  66. adx : 0.104229
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04188
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0040864
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.87559
  70. volume_ema1 : 2375.2789021461
  71. volume_ema2 : 19092.360022802
  72. chop : 47.1807
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87563
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000499394
  78. 5m_price: 
    87519.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.714329
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87805.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00325528
  83. 15m_price: 
    87519.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.075859
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88152.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00718644
  88. 1H_price: 
    87519.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.161412
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 171.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
                    [1] => 164.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5947115091696
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84767367750158
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6080305927342
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 22:00:00
                    [1] => 164.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:15:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 160.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.23
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.50177845528455
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.50177845528455
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:25:00
                    [1] => 156.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 16:10:00
                    [1] => 157.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:05:00
                    [1] => 158.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:40:00
                    [1] => 158.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.23
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.50177845528455
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.50177845528455
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.50%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8909
0.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7918
0.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:25:00 156.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 16:10:00 157.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:05:00 158.42 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:10:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:20:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:40:00 158.05 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:20:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 158.23 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.6309
3.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7918
0.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 22:00:00 164.49 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 01:15:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 10:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 12:00:00 160.71 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:15:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 158.23 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6209
7.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7918
0.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 11:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 13:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 20:00:00 168.2 ↑ High
2025-12-22 07:00:00 171.12 ↑ High
2025-12-22 15:00:00 164.07 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 20:00:00 165.98 ↑ High
2025-12-23 01:00:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 156.9 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
19:04:10		 23 Dec 2025
19:05:00		 50 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
158.23 158.4991 157.6918 2 133.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 158.23
  • Stop Loss: 158.4991
  • Take Profit: 157.6918

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 158.4991 - 158.23 = 0.26910000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 158.23 - 157.6918 = 0.53819999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.53819999999999 / 0.26910000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4703.6037 100 29.7264 47.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.26910000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.26910000000001 = 29.73

Taille de position USD = 29.73 x 158.23 = 4704.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 29.73 avec un stoploss a 158.4991

Avec un position size USD de 4704.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 29.73 x 0.26910000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 29.73 x 0.53819999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 29.73
  • Taille de position USD 4704.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1833 % 107.76 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.6918
            [entry_price] => 158.23
            [stop_loss] => 158.52601
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.6918
            [entry_price] => 158.23
            [stop_loss] => 158.55292
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.6918
            [entry_price] => 158.23
            [stop_loss] => 158.57983
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.6918
            [entry_price] => 158.23
            [stop_loss] => 158.63365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.56
            [max_drawdown] => 0.29000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [high] => 158.52000000
            [low] => 157.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:04:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T21:04:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.62
            [max_drawdown] => 0.29000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 5.59
            [high] => 158.52000000
            [low] => 156.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.02
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:04:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T02:04:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 159.39000000
            [high_after] => 158.52000000
            [low_before] => 156.91000000
            [low_after] => 156.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)