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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 23 Dec 2025 at 19:07:53

Take profit at 157.7303 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 158.4798 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 23 Dec 2025 at 19:07:53

With 32.0198 MSTR at 158.23$ per unit.

Position size of 5066.4891 $

Take profit at 157.7303 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 158.4798 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.711588

15m : 0.055859

1H : -0.093014

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.1665637327
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 158.537
  4. ema21 : 160.378
  5. ema50 : 162.832
  6. ema100 : 164.136
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00194157
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0114756
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150749
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.035987
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.263801
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.214462
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.132599
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0751895
  17. rsi : 0.312269
  18. adx : 0.482428
  19. kc_percentage : 0.11877
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0333367
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.617877
  22. volume_ema1 : 176748.85455519
  23. volume_ema2 : 462545.06342213
  24. chop : 35.2057
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 157.948
  28. ema21 : 158.109
  29. ema50 : 159.343
  30. ema100 : 161.038
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00178335
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00101628
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00774662
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0174426
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00527446
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0217429
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0462526
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0439004
  41. rsi : 0.489906
  42. adx : 0.200319
  43. kc_percentage : 0.572307
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0132085
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.963289
  46. volume_ema1 : 4847.839668302
  47. volume_ema2 : 132056.74194545
  48. chop : 58.4936
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 158.002
  52. ema21 : 157.909
  53. ema50 : 157.938
  54. ema100 : 158.201
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00144233
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000587512
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000185449
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000182002
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0104002
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00431439
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.000812488
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.004287
  65. rsi : 0.599973
  66. adx : 0.114018
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04474
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0036777
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.903492
  70. volume_ema1 : 1583.5192680974
  71. volume_ema2 : 16408.180238239
  72. chop : 46.3877
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87573
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000558429
  78. 5m_price: 
    87622
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.711588
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87807.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00210876
  83. 15m_price: 
    87622
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055859
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88154.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00604435
  88. 1H_price: 
    87622
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.093014
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 171.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
                    [1] => 164.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7043806738561
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73295092415552
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6080305927342
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 22:00:00
                    [1] => 164.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:15:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 160.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29649255614433
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38744918699188
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68597560975611
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:25:00
                    [1] => 156.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 16:10:00
                    [1] => 157.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:05:00
                    [1] => 158.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:40:00
                    [1] => 158.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:05:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29649255614433
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38744918699188
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68597560975611
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9102
0.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8303
0.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:25:00 156.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 16:10:00 157.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:05:00 158.42 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:10:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:20:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:40:00 158.05 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:20:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:05:00 158.52 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.6502
3.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8303
0.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 22:00:00 164.49 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 01:15:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 10:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 12:00:00 160.71 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:15:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 158.52 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.6402
7.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8303
0.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 11:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 13:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 20:00:00 168.2 ↑ High
2025-12-22 07:00:00 171.12 ↑ High
2025-12-22 15:00:00 164.07 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 20:00:00 165.98 ↑ High
2025-12-23 01:00:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 156.9 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
19:07:53		 23 Dec 2025
19:20:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
158.23 158.4798 157.7303 2 130.74
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 158.23
  • Stop Loss: 158.4798
  • Take Profit: 157.7303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 158.4798 - 158.23 = 0.24980000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 158.23 - 157.7303 = 0.49969999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.49969999999999 / 0.24980000000002 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5066.4891 100 32.0198 50.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.24980000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.24980000000002 = 32.03

Taille de position USD = 32.03 x 158.23 = 5068.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.03 avec un stoploss a 158.4798

Avec un position size USD de 5068.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.03 x 0.24980000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.03 x 0.49969999999999 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.03
  • Taille de position USD 5068.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.7304
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.6055
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.4806
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3557
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.2308
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.1059
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.981
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.8561
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.7312
            [stop_loss] => 158.4798
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.63
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 158.13000000
            [low] => 157.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => -0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:07:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T21:07:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.62
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 158.13000000
            [low] => 156.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.02
            [mae_pct] => -0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:07:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T02:07:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 159.39000000
            [high_after] => 158.13000000
            [low_before] => 156.91000000
            [low_after] => 156.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)