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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 23 Dec 2025 at 19:28:31

Take profit at 0.04081 (1.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04196 (0.91 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 23 Dec 2025 at 19:28:31

With 20827.9024 ARC at 0.04158$ per unit.

Position size of 866.0242 $

Take profit at 0.04081 (1.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04196 (0.91 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.57
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.067385

15m : -0.141347

1H : -0.04039

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.43
  4. atr: 0.000256066753
Details
  1. score: 1.43
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0414326
  4. ema21 : 0.0419703
  5. ema50 : 0.0424676
  6. ema100 : 0.0427608
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00355694
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0128118
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.011711
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0276146
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.315588
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.194249
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104381
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0595202
  17. rsi : 0.477036
  18. adx : 0.172078
  19. kc_percentage : 0.437415
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.138314
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.322213
  22. volume_ema1 : 99535.496704624
  23. volume_ema2 : 146853.70517703
  24. chop : 50.5427
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0406171
  28. ema21 : 0.0410748
  29. ema50 : 0.0417355
  30. ema100 : 0.0424828
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0237045
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0111426
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0158311
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0212514
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.330649
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.237718
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.145409
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.10196
  41. rsi : 0.431319
  42. adx : 0.307836
  43. kc_percentage : 0.750103
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0516921
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.719061
  46. volume_ema1 : 12149.967606256
  47. volume_ema2 : 43247.74419242
  48. chop : 37.9617
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0407882
  52. ema21 : 0.0406505
  53. ema50 : 0.0409921
  54. ema100 : 0.0414354
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0194121
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00338541
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00833222
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00348905
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0740375
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00627656
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0538156
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0489324
  65. rsi : 0.706261
  66. adx : 0.435276
  67. kc_percentage : 1.42525
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0242642
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.543856
  70. volume_ema1 : 3768.1826970385
  71. volume_ema2 : 8260.963910414
  72. chop : 29.8117
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87603.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00336003
  78. 5m_price: 
    87309
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.067385
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87771
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00531492
  83. 15m_price: 
    87304.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.141347
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88148.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00952528
  88. 1H_price: 
    87309
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.04039
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04584
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0449
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04068
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04115
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04446
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04073
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04526
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04438
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9182290490174
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.7912115824232
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.44602489205
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04286
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 04:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04078
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 05:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04438
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04423
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04036
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04008
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04169
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095946270088746
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.7912115824232
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8928117856236
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:55:00
                    [1] => 0.04319
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:05:00
                    [1] => 0.0426
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:50:00
                    [1] => 0.03958
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04057
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:25:00
                    [1] => 0.04169
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095946270088746
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.125
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.225
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.13%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0023
5.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 14:05:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:55:00 0.04319 ↑ High
2025-12-23 15:05:00 0.0426 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:40:00 0.04237 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:10:00 0.04122 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:20:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:50:00 0.03958 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:05:00 0.04057 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:45:00 0.04 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:25:00 0.04169 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.79%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0024
5.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 23:30:00 0.04286 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 04:15:00 0.04078 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 05:45:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 07:30:00 0.04423 ↑ High
2025-12-23 09:45:00 0.04036 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 0.04294 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 0.04008 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:15:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:15:00 0.04169 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.92%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.79%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0039
9.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 0.04584 ↑ High
2025-12-21 15:00:00 0.0449 ↑ High
2025-12-21 23:00:00 0.04068 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 07:00:00 0.04115 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 11:00:00 0.04446 ↑ High
2025-12-22 14:00:00 0.04073 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 18:00:00 0.04526 ↑ High
2025-12-23 05:00:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:00:00 0.03937 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
19:28:31		 23 Dec 2025
19:35:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04158 0.04196 0.04081 2.03 0.03065
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04158
  • Stop Loss: 0.04196
  • Take Profit: 0.04081

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04196 - 0.04158 = 0.00038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04158 - 0.04081 = 0.00077

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00077 / 0.00038 = 2.0263

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
866.0242 100 20827.9024 8.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00038

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00038 = 21052.63

Taille de position USD = 21052.63 x 0.04158 = 875.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 21052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.04196

Avec un position size USD de 875.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00038 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00077 = 16.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21052.63
  • Taille de position USD 875.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.21
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0263

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.85 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.91 % 7.91 $
PNL PNL %
-7.91 $ -0.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2126 % 242.11 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04081
            [entry_price] => 0.04158
            [stop_loss] => 0.041998
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04081
            [entry_price] => 0.04158
            [stop_loss] => 0.042036
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04081
            [entry_price] => 0.04158
            [stop_loss] => 0.042074
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04081
            [entry_price] => 0.04158
            [stop_loss] => 0.04215
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00116
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00092
            [rr_ratio] => 1.26
            [high] => 0.04250000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.79
            [mae_pct] => 2.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T21:28:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00116
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00125
            [rr_ratio] => 0.93
            [high] => 0.04283000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.79
            [mae_pct] => 3.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:28:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T02:28:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04288000
            [high_after] => 0.04283000
            [low_before] => 0.03937000
            [low_after] => 0.04042000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)