Short Trade on ARC 23 Dec 2025 at 19:41:44

Take profit at 0.04081 (2.18 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04217 (1.08 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 23 Dec 2025 at 19:41:44

With 17585.7562 ARC at 0.04172$ per unit.

Position size of 733.6778 $

Take profit at 0.04081 (2.18 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04217 (1.08 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.12
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.065992

15m : 0.156231

1H : -0.061945

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.0003032757453
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0414606
  4. ema21 : 0.041983
  5. ema50 : 0.0424731
  6. ema100 : 0.0427635
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0062559
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0124441
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115391
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0244038
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.31017
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.191781
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103317
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0589838
  17. rsi : 0.482731
  18. adx : 0.165665
  19. kc_percentage : 0.461879
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.146671
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.189267
  22. volume_ema1 : 121117.53322462
  23. volume_ema2 : 149392.76829703
  24. chop : 50.6763
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0410145
  29. ema21 : 0.041223
  30. ema50 : 0.0417698
  31. ema100 : 0.0424465
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0172
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00505861
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0130896
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0171176
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.210283
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.189565
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.127246
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0918975
  42. rsi : 0.555456
  43. adx : 0.275978
  44. kc_percentage : 0.7196
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0567117
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.702343
  47. volume_ema1 : 12516.735145282
  48. volume_ema2 : 42050.955651008
  49. chop : 39.9562
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0412488
  54. ema21 : 0.0409218
  55. ema50 : 0.0410704
  56. ema100 : 0.0414008
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.011423
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0079888
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00361758
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00770962
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.189012
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0720128
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.01253
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0257799
  67. rsi : 0.679397
  68. adx : 0.43272
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12418
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0303204
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.519286
  72. volume_ema1 : 14858.994439863
  73. volume_ema2 : 9780.2462070027
  74. chop : 12.9126
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87601.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.001951
  81. 5m_price:
    87430.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.065992
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87779.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00499269
  86. 15m_price:
    87341
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.156231
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88151
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00817178
  91. 1H_price:
    87430.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.061945
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04584
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0449
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04068
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04115
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04073
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04526
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04438
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4212785181839
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3500127000254
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.44602489205
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04286
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 04:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04078
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 05:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04438
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04036
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04008
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
                        [1] => 0.0425
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4823529411765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3500127000254
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.9502159004318
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:55:00
                        [1] => 0.04319
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 15:05:00
                        [1] => 0.0426
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 15:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04237
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03958
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04057
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0425
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4823529411765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.675
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.25
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.67%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.25%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0021
4.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 14:05:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:55:00 0.04319 ↑ High
2025-12-23 15:05:00 0.0426 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:40:00 0.04237 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:10:00 0.04122 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:20:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:50:00 0.03958 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:05:00 0.04057 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:45:00 0.04 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:35:00 0.0425 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0022
5.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 23:30:00 0.04286 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 04:15:00 0.04078 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 05:45:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 07:30:00 0.04423 ↑ High
2025-12-23 09:45:00 0.04036 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 0.04294 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 0.04008 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:15:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:30:00 0.0425 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.42%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.35%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0037
8.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0014
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 0.04584 ↑ High
2025-12-21 15:00:00 0.0449 ↑ High
2025-12-21 23:00:00 0.04068 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 07:00:00 0.04115 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 11:00:00 0.04446 ↑ High
2025-12-22 14:00:00 0.04073 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 18:00:00 0.04526 ↑ High
2025-12-23 05:00:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:00:00 0.03937 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
19:41:44
23 Dec 2025
20:30:00
48 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04172 0.04217 0.04081 2.02 0.03099
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04172
  • Stop Loss: 0.04217
  • Take Profit: 0.04081

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04217 - 0.04172 = 0.00045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04172 - 0.04081 = 0.00091

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00091 / 0.00045 = 2.0222

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
733.6778 100 17585.7562 7.34
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00045 = 17777.78

Taille de position USD = 17777.78 x 0.04172 = 741.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 17777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.04217

Avec un position size USD de 741.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17777.78 x 0.00045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17777.78 x 0.00091 = 16.18

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.18$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17777.78
  • Taille de position USD 741.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.18
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0222

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.18 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.08 % 7.91 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0307 % 95.56 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04082
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.040595
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04037
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.040145
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03992
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039695
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03947
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039245
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03902
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.038795
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03857
            [stop_loss] => 0.04217
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00043
            [rr_ratio] => 3.02
            [high] => 0.04215000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.12
            [mae_pct] => 1.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:41:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T21:41:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00111
            [rr_ratio] => 1.17
            [high] => 0.04283000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.12
            [mae_pct] => 2.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:41:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T02:41:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04277000
            [high_after] => 0.04283000
            [low_before] => 0.03937000
            [low_after] => 0.04042000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)