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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 23 Dec 2025 at 19:49:38

Take profit at 0.04103 (2.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04244 (1.12 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 23 Dec 2025 at 19:49:38

With 17086.3249 ARC at 0.04197$ per unit.

Position size of 717.1131 $

Take profit at 0.04103 (2.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04244 (1.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 5.08
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.055806

15m : 0.162879

1H : 0.047135

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.0003121404616
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0415106
  4. ema21 : 0.0420057
  5. ema50 : 0.0424829
  6. ema100 : 0.0427685
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0110664
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0117881
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0112322
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0186713
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.300494
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.187374
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.101418
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.058026
  17. rsi : 0.4926
  18. adx : 0.165665
  19. kc_percentage : 0.498844
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.145797
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.148893
  22. volume_ema1 : 127820.36658462
  23. volume_ema2 : 150181.33692762
  24. chop : 50.6763
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0412072
  28. ema21 : 0.0412918
  29. ema50 : 0.0417806
  30. ema100 : 0.0424562
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0185103
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00204834
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0116993
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0114538
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.126232
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.15338
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.114398
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0869562
  41. rsi : 0.565835
  42. adx : 0.263075
  43. kc_percentage : 0.782251
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0587042
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.382442
  46. volume_ema1 : 26730.783371299
  47. volume_ema2 : 43284.683047922
  48. chop : 40.2829
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.041417
  52. ema21 : 0.0410295
  53. ema50 : 0.0411046
  54. ema100 : 0.0413649
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0133507
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00944446
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0018265
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0146276
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.235412
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.103808
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00513348
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0144026
  65. rsi : 0.710134
  66. adx : 0.435648
  67. kc_percentage : 1.2096
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0311478
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.563415
  70. volume_ema1 : 16153.31538102
  71. volume_ema2 : 10332.066939894
  72. chop : 13.6051
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87583.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00072813
  78. 5m_price: 
    87520
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055806
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87767.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00282243
  83. 15m_price: 
    87520
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.162879
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88152.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00717866
  88. 1H_price: 
    87520
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.047135
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04584
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0449
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04068
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04115
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04446
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04073
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04526
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04438
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.2631578947368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.5278130556261
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.44602489205
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04286
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 04:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04078
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 05:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04438
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04423
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04036
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04008
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
                    [1] => 0.0425
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3176470588235
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.5278130556261
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.9502159004318
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:55:00
                    [1] => 0.04319
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:05:00
                    [1] => 0.0426
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                    [1] => 0.03937
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 17:50:00
                    [1] => 0.03958
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04057
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
                    [1] => 0.0425
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3176470588235
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.85
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.25
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.85%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.25%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0018
4.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0017
4.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 14:05:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:55:00 0.04319 ↑ High
2025-12-23 15:05:00 0.0426 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:40:00 0.04237 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:10:00 0.04122 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:20:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:50:00 0.03958 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:05:00 0.04057 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:45:00 0.04 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:35:00 0.0425 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.53%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0019
4.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0017
4.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 23:30:00 0.04286 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 04:15:00 0.04078 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 05:45:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 07:30:00 0.04423 ↑ High
2025-12-23 09:45:00 0.04036 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 0.04294 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 0.04008 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:15:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:30:00 0.0425 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.53%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0034
8.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0017
4.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 0.04584 ↑ High
2025-12-21 15:00:00 0.0449 ↑ High
2025-12-21 23:00:00 0.04068 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 07:00:00 0.04115 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 11:00:00 0.04446 ↑ High
2025-12-22 14:00:00 0.04073 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 18:00:00 0.04526 ↑ High
2025-12-23 05:00:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:00:00 0.03937 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
19:49:38		 23 Dec 2025
20:00:00		 10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04197 0.04244 0.04103 2 0.03279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04197
  • Stop Loss: 0.04244
  • Take Profit: 0.04103

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04244 - 0.04197 = 0.00047

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04197 - 0.04103 = 0.00094

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00094 / 0.00047 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
717.1131 100 17086.3249 7.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00047

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00047 = 17021.28

Taille de position USD = 17021.28 x 0.04197 = 714.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 17021.28 avec un stoploss a 0.04244

Avec un position size USD de 714.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17021.28 x 0.00047 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17021.28 x 0.00094 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17021.28
  • Taille de position USD 714.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.24 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.12 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
16.06 $ 2.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4289 % 38.3 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04103
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.040795
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04056
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.040325
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04009
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039855
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03962
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039385
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03915
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.038915
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03868
            [stop_loss] => 0.04244
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00155
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00018
            [rr_ratio] => 8.61
            [high] => 0.04215000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:49:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-23T21:49:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00155
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00086
            [rr_ratio] => 1.8
            [high] => 0.04283000
            [low] => 0.04042000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.69
            [mae_pct] => 2.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T19:49:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T02:49:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04267000
            [high_after] => 0.04283000
            [low_before] => 0.03937000
            [low_after] => 0.04042000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)