Short Trade on COIN 23 Dec 2025 at 20:03:11
Take profit at 241.496 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 241.982 (0.067 %)
Short Trade on COIN 23 Dec 2025 at 20:03:11
Take profit at 241.496 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 241.982 (0.067 %)
Position size of 11941.3132 $
Take profit at 241.496 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 241.982 (0.067 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.485692 15m : -0.009638 1H : 0.086361 |
1 |
Indicators:
87609
8.62457E-5
87616.6
0.485692
87777
-0.00182802
87616.6
-0.009638
88212.9
-0.00676008
87616.6
0.086361
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 18:00:00
[1] => 245.84
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
[1] => 250.19
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 02:00:00
[1] => 248
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
[1] => 247.91
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 10:00:00
[1] => 254.53
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
[1] => 247.79
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 244.57
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 07:00:00
[1] => 247.18
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
[1] => 238.92
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 243.08
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51834786901432
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2137954126904
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7411685919973
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 07:15:00
[1] => 247.18
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 10:00:00
[1] => 239.05
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
[1] => 241.32
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
[1] => 238.92
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 13:30:00
[1] => 241.28
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
[1] => 243.08
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:45:00
[1] => 242.11
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:45:00
[1] => 241.88
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024805688771292
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38606832994313
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.41097596413301
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:35:00
[1] => 242.11
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:45:00
[1] => 242.11
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:55:00
[1] => 242.11
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:20:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:30:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:40:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:50:00
[1] => 241.17
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
[1] => 241.07
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:40:00
[1] => 241.07
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:45:00
[1] => 241.88
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024805688771292
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31111295474344
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.33600199112291
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 17:35:00 | 242.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:45:00 | 242.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:55:00 | 242.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 18:20:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:30:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:40:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:50:00 | 241.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 19:30:00 | 241.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:40:00 | 241.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:45:00 | 241.88 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 07:15:00 | 247.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 10:00:00 | 239.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 12:00:00 | 241.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 12:45:00 | 238.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 13:30:00 | 241.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 15:45:00 | 243.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:45:00 | 242.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 18:15:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:45:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:45:00 | 241.88 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 18:00:00 | 245.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 20:00:00 | 250.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 02:00:00 | 248 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 09:00:00 | 247.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 10:00:00 | 254.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 15:00:00 | 247.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 244.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 07:00:00 | 247.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 12:00:00 | 238.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 243.08 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 20:03:11 |
23 Dec 2025 20:05:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241.82 | 241.982 | 241.496 | 2 | 181.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 241.982 - 241.82 = 0.16200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 241.82 - 241.496 = 0.32399999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.32399999999998 / 0.16200000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11941.3132 | 100 | 49.381 | 119.41 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.16200000000001 = 49.38
Taille de position USD = 49.38 x 241.82 = 11941.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 49.38 avec un stoploss a 241.982
Avec un position size USD de 11941.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 49.38 x 0.16200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 49.38 x 0.32399999999998 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.067 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1695 % | 252.99 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.496
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.415
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.334
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.253
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.172
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.091
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.01
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.929
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.848
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.767
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.686
[stop_loss] => 241.982
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.89
[max_drawdown] => 0.41
[rr_ratio] => 4.61
[high] => 242.23000000
[low] => 239.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.78
[mae_pct] => 0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.61
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T20:03:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-23T22:03:11-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.37
[max_drawdown] => 0.41
[rr_ratio] => 5.78
[high] => 242.23000000
[low] => 239.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.98
[mae_pct] => 0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.78
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T20:03:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T03:03:11-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.48000000
[high_after] => 242.23000000
[low_before] => 240.89000000
[low_after] => 239.45000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)