Short Trade on COIN 23 Dec 2025 at 21:13:39
Take profit at 241.3295 (0.1 %) and Stop Loss at 241.7053 (0.052 %)
Short Trade on COIN 23 Dec 2025 at 21:13:39
Take profit at 241.3295 (0.1 %) and Stop Loss at 241.7053 (0.052 %)
Position size of 15428.3611 $
Take profit at 241.3295 (0.1 %) and Stop Loss at 241.7053 (0.052 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.337387 15m : -0.053254 1H : 0.125393 |
1 |
Indicators:
87497.9
-0.00147778
87368.6
0.337387
87753.5
-0.00438632
87368.6
-0.053254
88168.4
-0.00907184
87368.6
0.125393
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
[1] => 250.19
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 02:00:00
[1] => 248
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
[1] => 247.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 10:00:00
[1] => 254.53
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
[1] => 247.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 244.57
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 07:00:00
[1] => 247.18
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
[1] => 238.92
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 243.08
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:00:00
[1] => 240.7
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.97910153036038
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98878271707521
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 10:00:00
[1] => 239.05
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
[1] => 241.32
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
[1] => 238.92
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 13:30:00
[1] => 241.28
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
[1] => 243.08
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:45:00
[1] => 242.11
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
[1] => 240.89
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:00:00
[1] => 242.23
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:00:00
[1] => 240.7
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6316310944144
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63564603240548
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 18:50:00
[1] => 241.17
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
[1] => 241.07
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:40:00
[1] => 241.07
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:05:00
[1] => 242.23
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:10:00
[1] => 241.27
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:20:00
[1] => 241.27
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:30:00
[1] => 241.27
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:40:00
[1] => 241.27
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:00:00
[1] => 241.58
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:10:00
[1] => 241.58
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36426856527859
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 18:50:00 | 241.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 19:30:00 | 241.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:40:00 | 241.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:05:00 | 242.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 20:10:00 | 241.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:20:00 | 241.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:30:00 | 241.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:40:00 | 241.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 21:00:00 | 241.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 21:10:00 | 241.58 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 10:00:00 | 239.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 12:00:00 | 241.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 12:45:00 | 238.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 13:30:00 | 241.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 15:45:00 | 243.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:45:00 | 242.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 18:15:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 18:45:00 | 240.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:00:00 | 242.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 21:00:00 | 240.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 20:00:00 | 250.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 02:00:00 | 248 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 09:00:00 | 247.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 10:00:00 | 254.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 15:00:00 | 247.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 244.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 07:00:00 | 247.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 12:00:00 | 238.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 243.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 21:00:00 | 240.7 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 21:13:39 |
23 Dec 2025 21:15:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241.58 | 241.7053 | 241.3295 | 2 | 179.69 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 241.7053 - 241.58 = 0.12529999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 241.58 - 241.3295 = 0.25050000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.25050000000002 / 0.12529999999998 = 1.9992
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15428.3611 | 100 | 63.8644 | 154.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.12529999999998 = 63.85
Taille de position USD = 63.85 x 241.58 = 15424.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 63.85 avec un stoploss a 241.7053
Avec un position size USD de 15424.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 63.85 x 0.12529999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 63.85 x 0.25050000000002 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.052 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.3294
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.26675
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.2041
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.14145
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.0788
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 241.01615
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.9535
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.89085
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.8282
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.76555
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 240.7029
[stop_loss] => 241.7053
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.65
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 240.70000000
[low] => 239.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.68
[mae_pct] => -0.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T21:13:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-23T23:13:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.13
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 240.70000000
[low] => 239.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.88
[mae_pct] => -0.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-23T21:13:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T04:13:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 242.23000000
[high_after] => 240.70000000
[low_before] => 240.70000000
[low_after] => 239.45000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)