Short Trade on ARC 23 Dec 2025 at 22:26:48

Take profit at 0.04094 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04194 (0.79 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 23 Dec 2025 at 22:26:48

With 23902.9353 ARC at 0.04161$ per unit.

Position size of 994.6011 $

Take profit at 0.04094 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04194 (0.79 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.038262

15m : 0.207526

1H : -0.018984

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.0002231246191
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0413008
  4. ema21 : 0.0417613
  5. ema50 : 0.0423188
  6. ema100 : 0.0426919
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00748456
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0110262
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0131742
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0253421
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.269534
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.202461
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.11897
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0707902
  17. rsi : 0.485869
  18. adx : 0.142162
  19. kc_percentage : 0.477744
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.129744
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.564296
  22. volume_ema1 : 60198.219094703
  23. volume_ema2 : 138163.2968593
  24. chop : 52.1272
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0409895
  29. ema21 : 0.0410505
  30. ema50 : 0.0414633
  31. ema100 : 0.042007
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0151358
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00148491
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0099551
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0094513
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0380693
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.022009
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0549934
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0524965
  42. rsi : 0.548967
  43. adx : 0.164307
  44. kc_percentage : 0.796488
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.046318
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.702032
  47. volume_ema1 : 9544.409099929
  48. volume_ema2 : 32031.663087089
  49. chop : 48.4017
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0412174
  54. ema21 : 0.0410404
  55. ema50 : 0.0410363
  56. ema100 : 0.041355
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00952394
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00431248
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000100903
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00616517
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.108577
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0477972
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0083623
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0146409
  67. rsi : 0.665246
  68. adx : 0.196843
  69. kc_percentage : 1.14131
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0210766
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.284109
  72. volume_ema1 : 3559.6312591891
  73. volume_ema2 : 4972.309307157
  74. chop : 36.4688
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87486.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00341357
  81. 5m_price:
    87187.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.038262
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87649.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00623969
  86. 15m_price:
    87102.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.207526
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88125.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0106403
  91. 1H_price:
    87187.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.018984
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04584
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0449
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-21 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04068
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04115
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04073
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04526
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04438
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.0989383329568
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.5880111760224
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.44602489205
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 05:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04438
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 07:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04423
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04036
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04008
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04427
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
                        [1] => 0.0425
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 21:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04042
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 22:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.096130737803409
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8451261751608
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9440870856012
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 15:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04237
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:10:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:20:00
                        [1] => 0.03937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03958
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04057
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0425
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 21:25:00
                        [1] => 0.04042
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 21:35:00
                        [1] => 0.04109
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 22:25:00
                        [1] => 0.04161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.096130737803409
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8451261751608
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2655147237771
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.27%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0006
1.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0016
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 15:40:00 0.04237 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:10:00 0.04122 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:20:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:50:00 0.03958 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 18:05:00 0.04057 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:45:00 0.04 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:35:00 0.0425 ↑ High
2025-12-23 21:25:00 0.04042 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 21:35:00 0.04109 ↑ High
2025-12-23 22:25:00 0.04161 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0024
5.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0016
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 05:45:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 07:30:00 0.04423 ↑ High
2025-12-23 09:45:00 0.04036 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 0.04294 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 0.04008 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:15:00 0.03937 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:30:00 0.0425 ↑ High
2025-12-23 21:15:00 0.04042 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 22:15:00 0.04161 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.59%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0039
9.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0016
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 09:00:00 0.04584 ↑ High
2025-12-21 15:00:00 0.0449 ↑ High
2025-12-21 23:00:00 0.04068 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 07:00:00 0.04115 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 11:00:00 0.04446 ↑ High
2025-12-22 14:00:00 0.04073 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 18:00:00 0.04526 ↑ High
2025-12-23 05:00:00 0.04438 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 0.04427 ↑ High
2025-12-23 17:00:00 0.03937 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Dec 2025
22:26:48
23 Dec 2025
22:35:00
8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04161 0.04194 0.04094 2.03 0.0336
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04161
  • Stop Loss: 0.04194
  • Take Profit: 0.04094

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04194 - 0.04161 = 0.00033

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04161 - 0.04094 = 0.00067

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00067 / 0.00033 = 2.0303

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
994.6011 100 23902.9353 9.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00033

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00033 = 24242.42

Taille de position USD = 24242.42 x 0.04161 = 1008.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 24242.42 avec un stoploss a 0.04194

Avec un position size USD de 1008.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24242.42 x 0.00033 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24242.42 x 0.00067 = 16.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24242.42
  • Taille de position USD 1008.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0303

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.61 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 7.89 $
PNL PNL %
-7.89 $ -0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0574 % 133.32 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04094
            [entry_price] => 0.04161
            [stop_loss] => 0.041973
            [rr_ratio] => 1.85
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04094
            [entry_price] => 0.04161
            [stop_loss] => 0.042006
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04094
            [entry_price] => 0.04161
            [stop_loss] => 0.042039
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04094
            [entry_price] => 0.04161
            [stop_loss] => 0.042105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-23 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00019
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00122
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [high] => 0.04283000
            [low] => 0.04142000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 2.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T22:26:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T00:26:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00081
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00122
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [high] => 0.04283000
            [low] => 0.04080000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.95
            [mae_pct] => 2.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-23T22:26:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T05:26:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04250000
            [high_after] => 0.04283000
            [low_before] => 0.04000000
            [low_after] => 0.04080000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)