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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 24 Dec 2025 at 02:41:09

Take profit at 157.1222 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 157.4339 (0.066 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 24 Dec 2025 at 02:41:09

With 76.9862 MSTR at 157.33$ per unit.

Position size of 12112.2362 $

Take profit at 157.1222 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 157.4339 (0.066 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.02
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.37608

15m : -0.127472

1H : 0.078472

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.06927650009
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 157.536
  4. ema21 : 158.875
  5. ema50 : 161.492
  6. ema100 : 163.33
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00131063
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00842902
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0162037
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0367382
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.107247
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.151748
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.123334
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0788783
  17. rsi : 0.325689
  18. adx : 0.458587
  19. kc_percentage : 0.134564
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0247856
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.936104
  22. volume_ema1 : 22515.761868998
  23. volume_ema2 : 352386.18848676
  24. chop : 71.7141
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 157.21
  28. ema21 : 157.341
  29. ema50 : 157.939
  30. ema100 : 159.133
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000759914
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000834755
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00378436
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0113308
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0161192
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0159181
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0234337
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0270329
  41. rsi : 0.497291
  42. adx : 0.11429
  43. kc_percentage : 0.501508
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00554228
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.866446
  46. volume_ema1 : 5669.7407579093
  47. volume_ema2 : 42452.955948695
  48. chop : 59.0139
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 157.214
  52. ema21 : 157.17
  53. ema50 : 157.274
  54. ema100 : 157.434
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000732286
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000280892
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000660612
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000660721
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0101692
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.000678932
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00465406
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00450949
  65. rsi : 0.591759
  66. adx : 0.231018
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11408
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00166286
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.755773
  70. volume_ema1 : 2183.6700052955
  71. volume_ema2 : 1243.7084180354
  72. chop : 22.3348
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87174.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000634021
  78. 5m_price: 
    87118.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.37608
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87379.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00411584
  83. 15m_price: 
    87020
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.127472
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88082.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0109381
  88. 1H_price: 
    87118.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.078472
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 13:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 171.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
                    [1] => 164.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1430573326022
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45974075729519
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18517336057722
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 160.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 23:45:00
                    [1] => 157.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 01:30:00
                    [1] => 156.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:30:00
                    [1] => 157.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057171896836472
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28684344722082
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.34421213666496
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 23:05:00
                    [1] => 157.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 23:40:00
                    [1] => 157.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 23:45:00
                    [1] => 157.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 00:20:00
                    [1] => 157.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 00:50:00
                    [1] => 157.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 01:05:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 01:35:00
                    [1] => 157.04
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:05:00
                    [1] => 156.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:30:00
                    [1] => 157.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057171896836472
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28045127159158
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.33781630441711
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.28%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3861
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5122
0.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 22:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 23:05:00 157.79 ↑ High
2025-12-23 23:40:00 157.41 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 23:45:00 157.82 ↑ High
2025-12-24 00:20:00 157.76 ↑ High
2025-12-24 00:50:00 157.58 ↑ High
2025-12-24 01:05:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 01:35:00 157.04 ↑ High
2025-12-24 02:05:00 156.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 02:30:00 157.42 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.2761
2.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5122
0.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 12:00:00 160.71 ↑ High
2025-12-23 12:45:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:15:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 158.52 ↑ High
2025-12-23 22:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 23:45:00 157.82 ↑ High
2025-12-24 01:30:00 156.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 02:30:00 157.42 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.46%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.6861
8.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5122
0.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 11:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 13:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 20:00:00 168.2 ↑ High
2025-12-22 07:00:00 171.12 ↑ High
2025-12-22 15:00:00 164.07 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 20:00:00 165.98 ↑ High
2025-12-23 01:00:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 22:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
24 Dec 2025
02:41:09		 24 Dec 2025
02:45:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
157.33 157.4339 157.1222 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 157.33
  • Stop Loss: 157.4339
  • Take Profit: 157.1222

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 157.4339 - 157.33 = 0.10389999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 157.33 - 157.1222 = 0.20780000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.20780000000002 / 0.10389999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
12112.2362 100 76.9862 121.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.10389999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.10389999999998 = 77

Taille de position USD = 77 x 157.33 = 12114.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 77 avec un stoploss a 157.4339

Avec un position size USD de 12114.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 77 x 0.10389999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 77 x 0.20780000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 77
  • Taille de position USD 12114.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.13 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.066 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1208 % 183.03 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.1222
            [entry_price] => 157.33
            [stop_loss] => 157.44429
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.1222
            [entry_price] => 157.33
            [stop_loss] => 157.45468
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.1222
            [entry_price] => 157.33
            [stop_loss] => 157.46507
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.1222
            [entry_price] => 157.33
            [stop_loss] => 157.48585
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.45000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.19
            [rr_ratio] => 2.37
            [high] => 157.52000000
            [low] => 156.88000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T02:41:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T04:41:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.83
            [max_drawdown] => 0.97999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.87
            [high] => 158.31000000
            [low] => 155.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T02:41:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T09:41:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 157.82000000
            [high_after] => 158.31000000
            [low_before] => 156.88000000
            [low_after] => 156.88000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)